It’s almost the big day. There’s little uncertainty at the very top of the draft, but there’s plenty of drama after that. If you think you know how the first round will go down, join our FanSided draft predictor group over on ESPN. My entry wil mimic this which is my final mock draft of this year.
Since this site primarily focuses on Fantasy sports, I’ll give a brief breakdown of how I think the skill players will impact their teams and whether they’ll have fantasy value in the coming year. The old-school thinking was “avoid rookies,” but with Cam Newton, Andy Dalton, and AJ Green shattering that stereotype last season there will be plenty of owners taking rookies early and often in fantasy football drafts this coming year. I’ll give you my opinion on who to avoid and who to pursue in a quick fantasy impact hit after each skill position pick.
Each FantasyCPR mock draft is featured in the mock draft databases at WalterFootball.com, DC Pro Sports Report, Sports Jabber, hailredskins.com, eatdrinkandsleepfootball.com, and fftoolbox.com. Each site keeps track of a huge number mock drafts all over the web, so if you’re a draft junkie they’re great places to get your fix of info… Clicking the link for the team will take you to the site on the Fansided network dedicated to that particular team and to get daily draft-dedicated coverage visit Fansided brethren nflmocks.com and withthefirstpick.com
1. Indianapolis Colts
Fantasy Impact: I’ve been saying that I see Luck as a QB2 for several weeks. The one aspect I haven’t touched on is how he’ll impact other Colts. I normally wouldn’t do that since it’s not for sure that a draftee will go to a specific team, but in this case I think I’m safe. In college Luck was partial to his TE which could mean a boost for the starting TE in Indy (Dallas Clark-if he resigns which appears unlikely). It wouldn’t surprise me to see the Colts draft a TE since they lost Jacob Tamme and don’t have a pass catching TE. Pay attention to who gets the gig since they could develop into a decent sleeper pick. The WR in Indy will also benefit from his accuracy and he’ll probably make Reggie Wayne a mid-to-low WR2 this year.
2. Washington Redskins (Trade with the Rams)
Robert Griffin III-QB-Baylor
Fantasy Impact: RG3 is being touted as this year’s version of Cam Newton, and I can actually see plenty of reason to make him a QB1 on your fantasy draft day. Griffin will immediately be the face of the franchise and could be a top 5 QB by the end of the season. His rushing skills will add immensely to his value and besides the top 6 (Aaron Rodgers, Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Michael Vick, Peyton Manning, and Cam Newton), I don’t see any QB that has the upside for fantasy points that he does. It’s a risk taking him, to be sure, but it could be the defining move of the fantasy football season. Cam Newton changed the way we think about rookie QB’s; I only see RG3 building on Newton’s momentum and showing how the new breed of rushing QBs can step in and produce from day 1. He’ll be in my top 10 come ranking time.
3. Minnesota Vikings
4. Cleveland Browns
Fantasy Impact: The Browns offense is sorely in need of playmakers and they have their choice of Richardson or Justin Blackmon in this scenario. I think they’ll go with Richardson and go WR later in the draft. A RB this high is always a risk, but Richardson should be feature-back material for the next several years in Cleveland. If he isn’t in a time-share he could be a solid #2 RB in fantasy this season.
5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
6. St. Louis Rams (from Washington Redskins)
7. Jacksonville Jaguars
Justin Blackmon-WR-Oklahom State
Fantasy Impact: If Blackmon is on the board, the Jags will continue to aggressively shop the pick, but probably end up with the top receiver in the draft. They won’t be able to truly evaluate Blaine Gabbert unless he get’s some receivers and Blackmon should develop into a solid fantasy WR. He’ll probably be a WR3 this year but hast WR2 upside if Gabbert can be consistent enough to enable his development.
8. Miami Dolphins
Ryan Tannehill-QB-Texas A&M
Fantasy Impact: Tannehill is the X-factor in this draft. Noone knows who is high enough to move up or pull the trigger on him. He’s a raw talent at QB, and at thie point e’ve all heard the “Joe Philbin coached up Aaron Rodgers” and “Tannehill’s former A&M coach Mike Sherman is the new OC” lines of reasoning. In this case though, I think it comes down to the fact that they’re desperate for a QB. They missed on Manning, Matt Flynn, and Tim Tebow. The problem is that if Tannehill is supposed to succeed, he needs to NOT play this year. My guess is he won’t affect fantasy football this year in a positive way. I like his long-term prospects, but Tannehill isn’t worth a fantasy pick this year except in keeper leagues where you only draft rookies.
9. Carolina Panthers
10. Buffalo Bills
Michael Floyd-WR-Notre Dame
Fantasy Impact: If Floyd ends up in Buffalo, he will be the top fantasy WR in this draft in the coming year. With Steve Johnson opposite him and Ryan Fitzpatrick piloting a maturing offense, I think Floyd would be a WR2 due to his ability to make the catches over the middle in traffic and find the End Zone. He’s a better red zone target than Blackmon and has a complementary skill set to that of Johnson at the other WR spot.
11. Kansas City Chiefs
12. Seattle Seahawks
13. Arizona Cardinals
14. Dallas Cowboys
15. Philadelphia Eagles
16. New York Jets
18. San Diego Chargers
19. Chicago Bears
20. Tennessee Titans
21. Cincinnati Bengals
22. Cleveland Browns (from Atlanta)
Fantasy Impact: The Browns offense would get a huge boost from a Richardson/Wright combo. The QB question is still a big one in Cleveland so Wright’s upside is somewhat limited. If he’s around at the end of the draft, he might be worth a flier as a WR4 or low WR3. He showed he’s got the speed and could be a great long-term pick for the Browns, but he’ll be a risky fantasy pick until he gets a solid QB who can throw the deep ball.
23. Detroit Lions
24. Pittsburgh Steelers
25. Denver Broncos
26. Houston Texans
Fantasy Impact: While Stephen Hill is an option as well and Coby Fleener may be tempting, the Texans may be best off with Randle whose skill set complements Andre Johnson and would give their offense a second vertical threat that would only open things up for their running game. Randle could be a WR2 this season if he gets solid QB play from Matt Schaub although the Texans will still rely on their running game making him a better pick as a WR3.
28. Green Bay Packers
29. Baltimore Ravens
30. San Francisco 49ers
Stephen Hill-WR-Georgia Tech
Fantasy Analysis: Hill is a big-time athlete and can learn from Rondy Moss and develop throughout the year. Hill and Crabtree set up Alex Smith to be successful in the Jim Harbaugh offense. The Niners returned most of their defense and can afford to add Hill and hope he develops like fellow Yellow-Jackets Calvin Johnson and Demaryius Thomas before him. He’s got upside, but don’t overreach in fantasy leagues until it’s clear where he fits in a suddenly crowded WR depth chart in San Fran.
31. New England Patriots
32. New York Giants