College Football Week 7 Odds & Predictions

Pi

Oct 13, 2012; Dallas, TX, USA; Texas Longhorns quarterback David Ash (14) fumbles in the third quarter against the Oklahoma Sooners during the red river rivalry at the Cotton Bowl. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports

 Since this it not an exact science, it is for entertainment purposes only.  If I care to put a wager on any of these, I will not be announcing it publicly.  I do put a “lock of the week” in each post, but even that is no lock.  Im 4-2 so far this year with those.  I am simply letting you know which way I would bet these if I were forced to.  I cannot be responsble for you losing your car, house, significant other, or limbs because of following my picks.  I am a simple man.  I cannot have that on my conscience.  I do these every week to put my pride at stake instead of my nest egg.  It gives you the same sense of excitement, yet pride is much easier to replenish than money.   Heading into this week, I am sitting at 149-127 on the season.  Going for another .500 week!

 

Rutgers at (8)Louisville(-19.5):  The Cardinals looked bored against Tulane.  That scares me.  I know they have the talent to cover this, but I dont know if they will.  Im taking Rutgers.

San Diego State(-3.5) at Air Force:  Air Force got demolished by Navy, but this is at home.  Conventional wisdom says to take the home team, but Im not conventional.  Oh, and Awini is still out.  Give me the Aztecs.

Arizona at USC(-5.5):  I am more than a little surprised that the Trojans are favored.  Marquise Lee is most likely not going to play.  This is the dawning of a new era in Trojan football, but I think the transition will be tough on the team.  Give me Arizona.

Temple at Cincinnati(-21.5):  Way too high.  Cincy lost to winless South Florida last week.  Give me Temple.

Oklahoma(-14.5) vs Texas at Dallas:  I know Oklahoma has the talent to cover this, and they have more than doubled this in each of the last two years.  Still, this is a rivalry game, and Mack might be coaching for his career at Texas.  I can see Oklahoma winning by more than this.  Would I bet on it?  Not a chance.  Give me Texas.

South Florida at Connecticut(-4.5):  All I see is UConn getting decimated by Buffalo.  Give me these Bulls too…..

(25)Missouri at (7)Georgia(-8.5):  This line is down three points, and Im not sure why.  Missouri is getting too much credit for beating Vandy.   Georgia covers this with relative ease.

Indiana at Michigan State(-9.5):  The Hoosiers are going to have all kinds of trouble with Sparty’s D.  Dont expect another upset here.  Give me Michigan State.

Memphis at Houston(-9.5):  I havent seen much from Houston this year, but they still have to be ten points better than Memphis at home.  Give me the Cougars.

Pittsburgh at (24)Virginia Tech(-9.5):  The Hokie defense is coming around.  This game shouldnt be close.  Give me VT for my lock of the week!

Eastern Michigan at Army(-7.5):  I dont like that half.  Both of these teams are so bad, that I cant see either of them winning by more than seven, so I guess Im taking Eastern Michigan….

Nebraska(-14.5) at Purdue:  If Martinez doesnt play, this is a no-brainer.  Nebraska doubles this line.  If he plays, I think the offense struggles.  Enough that they dont cover this?  Possibly, but most of the reports around here hint to Armstrong starting, so Im taking Nebraska.

Kansas at TCU(-24.5):  The Jayhawks just might be the worst BCS team right now.  Give me the Toadies.

Iowa State at (20)Texas Tech(-14.5):  The Cyclones have been nothing more than a light breeze on the road.  TT rolls!

(14)South Carolina(-6.5) at Arkansas:  This seems low.  I understand the whole road game in the SEC thing, but the Piggies barely resemble an SEC team right now.  Give me the Cocks.

Navy at Duke(-3.5):  Honestly, Navy has looked better than Duke has.  Give me the Middies.

Central Michigan at Ohio(-17.5):  The Bobcats mercilessly beat Akron last week.  I think they do the same to the Chippewas this week.  Give me Ohio.

Buffalo(-11.5) at Western Michigan:  This is too low.  It started out way too low, and still is even though it is up five points.  Buffalo rolls!

Miami(OH) at Massachusetts(-3.5):  WHAT???  UMass is actually FAVORED?  This is the first time that has happened at this level for UMass, and Im not sure its warranted.  The Redhawks have been dreadful, but they are not bottom five material.  UMass might be.  Give me Miami.

Kent State at Ball State(-14.5):  Too many, if only by that half.  Archer will get his looks against this D.  He is the best player they have played against so far.  Give me Kent.

San Jose State at Colorado State(-3.5):  This is a coin flip.  Tails.  Give me SJSU.

(17)Florida at (10)LSU(-6.5):  Too low.  I like the Tigers by at least a touchdown, if not double digits.  Florida doesnt have the offense to keep up.

Virginia at Maryland(-7.5):  This line is up four points for some reason.  Is FSU really that much better than the pack in the ACC?  Probably.  Give me Maryland.

Syracuse at North Carolina State(-6.5):  The Orange got demolished by Clemson, a team that had trouble in Raleigh.  I have to go with NC State here.

Boston College at Clemson(-24.5):  FSU couldnt beat the Eagles by this much, but the game was on Chestnut Hill.  I think Clemson gets it done at home.  Give me the Tigers.

(19)Northwestern at Wisconsin(-10.5):  This line is completely bogus.  The Wildcats came closer to beating the Buckeyes than Wisconsin did.  I like the Wildcats straight up!

Troy(-17.5) at Georgia State:  Too many.  Troy was almost favored by this against South Alabama, and nearly lost.  Im not saying that GSU can beat them, but I think it will be closer than this.  Give me Georgia State.

(15)Baylor(-17.5) at Kansas State:  Manhattan is a tough place to play, but Im not picking against the Bears again.  They might have the best offense in the country.  They are right up there with Oregon.  Give me Baylor.

East Carolina(-9.5) at Tulane:  I keep picking against the Wave, and I keep losing.  That said, I dont think I can pick against a team that pushed around North Carolina in Chapel Hill.  Give me the Pirates.

New Mexico at Wyoming(-15.5):  Im not fooled by what UNM did to New Mexico State last week.  Give me Wyoming.

(2)Oregon(-13.5) at (16)Washington:  I have a feeling that the Stanford game is going to weigh on the Huskies.  How hard is it to play games like that on back to back weeks?  I would think its something close to trying to cut down the mightiest tree in the forest with a herring.  I have to think Oregon wins by 14.  Give me the Ducks.

Rice at UTSA(-1.5):  The Roadrunners have managed to put up points at home.  When in doubt, go with the home team.  UTSA it is!

(18)Michigan(-2.5) at Penn State:  Too low.  Indiana exposed the Lions, and I think Michigan is finally hitting their stride.  Wolvies by at least a touchdown.

Marshall(-12.5) at Florida Atlantic:  The Owls are improving, but the Herd are looking pretty good.  They nearly took out a good Virginia Tech team.  I think I have to go with Marshall.

Akron at Northern Illinois(-23.5):  I have no reason to think Lynch and the Huskies wont cover this, especially at home.  Give me UNI.

(5)Stanford(-8.5) at Utah:  This line is down a few points.  Now it might be a bit too low.  Im taking Stanford. 

(1)Alabama(-27.5) at Kentucky:  Hanging with South Carolina is one thing.  Trying to hang with the Tide is an entirely different animal.  Give me Bama.

Middle Tennessee State at North Texas(-6.5):  Too low.  The Mean Green will win by at least a TD at home.

Georgia Tech at BYU(.7.5):  This line opened at -4, and probably should have stayed around that area.  The Bees aren’t as bad as Miami made them look.  BYU isn’t as good as Texas made them look.  This game stays within a TD.  Give me Georgia Tech.

Louisiana-Monroe at Texas State(-6.5):  Last year’s early season darlings have had a rough go of it so far.  So much so that they are road dogs to a fledgling Texas State team.  Add to that the fact that QB Kolton Browning is out, and I think that is just too much for ULM to overcome.  Give me the Bobcats.

Idaho at Arkansas State(-24.5):  Ouch!  What have the Red Wolves done to deserve this line?  Idaho beat Temple, after all!  Give me the Vandals.  This is too many.

Bowling Green at Mississippi State(-10.5):  The Falcons have never played in front of a crowd quite this overwhelming, but I still think this line it too high.  The Bulldogs are not the team they were last year.  Give me Bowling Green…….because of that half.

UAB(-7.5) at Florida International:  Wow, this line opened with even odds.  Now this just makes my pick very very easy.  Give me FIU.  Straight up I might not have done it.  I just know UAB wont win by two scores…..

Boise State(-6.5) at Utah State:  Way, way WAY too low.  Without Keeton, the Aggies were a mess against BYU.  They will be here as well.  Boise wins BIG.

Hawaii at UNLV(-9.5):  Im not convinced the Rebels are this much better.  Im taking Hawaii, even though they usually stink on the mainland…..

Tulsa(-10.5) at UTEP:  Tulsa has not looked anywhere close to good this year.  No way they cover this.  Give me UTEP.

(9)Texas A&M(-5.5) at Mississippi:  I had to look this line up a few more times just to make sure I wasnt missing a digit.  This is way too low.  Aggies roll!

Colorado at Arizona State(-26.5):  Whoa, are the Ralphies really this bad?  I know Oregon tore them apart, but the Ducks have done that to everyone.  I just dont think ASU has the offense to do this, despite the dismantling of the Trojans.  I cant believe Im doing this, but Im taking Colorado…..

California at (11)UCLA(-24.5):  This line is kind of high, but it is well deserved.  Give me UCLA.

Oregon State at Washington State(EVEN):  Oregon State is starting to look like the team that was ranked to start the season.  I still think the Cougars are getting too much credit for taking out USC.  Give me Oregon State.

 

 

Topics: College Football, Picks Against The Spread, Week 7

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