College Football Week 8 Odds & Predictions

Sept 22, 2012; Tallahassee, Florida, USA; Florida State Seminoles running back Chris Thompson (4) runs for a touchdown past Clemson Tigers cornerback Bashaud Breeland (17) and safety Rashard Hall (31) during the second half of the game at Doak Campbell Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Melina Vastola-USA TODAY Sports

 

 

In case you missed my post earlier this week, I went 25-25 last week to put my season total at 184-152.  To reiterate, this is for entertainment purposes only.  Dont sic your bookie on me if I make a bad prediction!

(10)Miami(FL)(-9.5) at North Carolina:  This is too low.  UNC got thumped at home by East Carolina just a couple of weeks ago.

Central Florida at (8)Louisville(-12.5):  This is too many.  The Knights gave South Carolina all they could handle.  This is about the only hurdle that the Cardinals have to clear for an undefeated season.  They better show up for this one.  They havent for the previous two games.  Im expecting a close one.  Give me UCF.

Minnesota at Northwestern(-12.5):  Is there any chance that the Gopher D can do what Wisconsin did to the Wildcats?  I seriously doubt it.  Both teams have the same record coming in, but the talent level still seriously favors Northwestern, and they have been money at home.   Give me the Wildcats.

Purdue at Michigan State(-27.5):  The only question I have here is whether the Spartan offense can score four touchdowns to cover this.  Well, if they can against Indiana, I suppose they can here too, and Purdue is hideous.  Give me Sparty.

Southern Mississippi at East Carolina(-22.5):  The Pirates just lost a heartbreaker to Tulane in triple overtime.  Will they have a hangover?  Even if they do, I doubt the Eagles stay close.  Give me ECU.

TCU at (21)Oklahoma State(-7.5):  The Cowboys have looked good at home, but TCU is better than the West Virginia team that shocked them a couple of weeks ago.  That said, it is in Stillwater.  I do expect it to stay a one score game though.  Give me TCU.  Hopefully they dont burn me again….

SMU at Memphis(-3.5):  I dont buy this for one minute.  There is no way that Memphis has anywhere close to the talent or coaching staff that SMU does.  Mustangs win easily!  This is my lock of the week!

(15)Georgia (-7.5) at Vanderbilt:  I know, I know, Georgia is but a shadow of the team that they started the season with, but I havent been impressed with Vandy at all.  I still like Georgia here.

(16)Texas Tech(-6.5) at West Virginia:  I tend to think that Tech is better than the Oklahoma State team that came in here and got embarrassed.  The Tech offense is legit.  Give me the Raiders.

Connecticut at Cincinnati(-14.5):  The Bearcats have had problems with Miami of Ohio and Temple since Munchie went out.  I have a hard time seeing them cover this line.  They couldnt against the Redhawks or Temple.  Give me UConn……because of that half.

(11)South Carolina(-7.5) at Tennessee:  This is too low.  Tennessee isn’t there yet, and the Gamecocks are rolling.  Give me SC.

Navy at Toledo(-7.5):  I hate that half.  Hate it.  Oh well, give me Toledo.  I think they have a better chance of covering this at home than Navy does of staying within a touchdown…..

(22)Florida(-3.5) at (14)Missouri:  This is too low for a freshman QB against the stout Gator defense.  I really wish that Franklin hadn’t been hurt…..I was curious to see what the Tigers really could do in the SEC.  Gators win by 6-10 points or so.

Syracuse at Georgia Tech(-7.5):  The Bees are reeling right now.  Fool me once, shame on you.  Im not letting that happen again.  Give me Syracuse.  They looked really good last week.

Akron(-7.5) at Miami(OH):  Akron has at least hung with some good teams.  The Redhawks have not.  They are firmly planted in my bottom five after the loss to UMass.  I think I have to go with Akron here.

Army at Temple(-2.5):  I may be crazy, but I think the wrong team is favored.  Give me Army.  Temple is 0-6 for a reason…..

Ohio(-17.5) at Eastern Michigan:  If Army can cover this, I would hope the Bobcats can.  Give me Ohio.

Ball State(-19.5) at Western Michigan:  The Broncos are the worst team in Division 1.  At least that is what their record says.  At the very least, they are in my bottom five.  Give me David Letterman U.

Colorado State at Wyoming(-6.5):  For less than a TD, this is easy money.  Wyoming wins by at least ten, and probably more.

Kent State at South Alabama(-6.5):  Look, I like what the Jaguars have going on down there in Mobile, but they have no business being favored against Kent.  Kent has two very good receivers.  I like the Flashes straight up.

(23)Northern Illinois(-16.5) at Central Michigan:  The Huskies look bored against their sub-par competition in the MAC.  They are capable of covering this, but Im not sure that they are interested enough.  The Chippewas just knocked off a decent Ohio team last week.  Give me CMU.

(18)Oklahoma(-23.5) at Kansas:  Let’s see here……Kansas hung with TCU in Fort Worth.  Im not sure that Oklahoma is much better than TCU, if at all.  Give me Kansas.  This is too many.

(9)UCLA at (13)Stanford(-5.5):  In the cases of speed vs. power, power usually wins.  As much as I like UCLA, I think I have to go with Stanford.  It takes a team with a good defense to beat Stanford.  Im not sure UCLA has that….

Indiana at Michigan(-8.5):  This line is falling fast, and I can see why.  The only game that the Wolverines have looked good in was the Minnesota game.  Indiana hammered a Penn State team that beat Michigan one week later.  I like Indiana here.  Maybe even straight up.

Maryland(-5.5) at Wake Forest:  Forget for a moment how bad the Turtles looked in Tallahassee.  They are MUCH better than Wake.  Give me Maryland.

Iowa at (4)Ohio State(-17.5):  Normally I would say that Iowa has a chance in a game like this, but this year they are a one-dimensional offense that cant play from behind.  The Buckeyes are going to bury them.  Ohio State covers this by halftime….

(24)Auburn at (7)Texas A&M(-13.5):  This looks low.  Auburn hasnt looked that great on the road.  That said, they did beat an Ole Miss team that took the Aggies to the wire last weekend, but this is in Texas.  Everything is bigger in Texas……including the blowouts.  Give me A&M.

BYU(-9.5) at Houston:  Yes, Houston in undefeated, but they havent been tested yet.  This is one test that they will fail miserably.  Give me BYU.

Duke at Virginia(-2.5):  I really dont know what to think of Virginia.  They beat BYU, then get dominated by Pitt and Ball State.  The Cavs are certainly capable of winning this game.  I guess I will take them since they are at home….

Massachusetts at Buffalo(-20.5):  Welcome back to reality, UMass.  The Bulls mean business.  Give me Buffalo.

North Texas(-6.5) at Louisiana Tech:  Well, you cant say the Mean Green haven’t earned this.  Give me UNT.

(20)Washington at Arizona State(-2.5):  I dont buy this either.  Washington just lost to two of the top teams in the country.  That doenst mean ASU will beat them.  Give me the Huskies with confidence, unless they invite the officials from the Wisconsin game…..

(6)LSU(-8.5) at Mississippi:  This seems low, but Ole Miss has been a bear at home.  That said, the Tigers still have a chip on their shoulder.  Give me LSU.

Old Dominion at Pittsburgh(-10.5):  This line is off of most boards, and I see why.  What do we really know about Old Dominion?  Well, this is their first year in Division 1, and they are still classified as an independent before they join the AAC in 2014.  Are they good enough to hang with Pittsburgh?  I have no idea.  Give me Pitt……..I at least know a little about them.

Iowa State at (12)Baylor(-33.5):  Wow, this is huge.  HUGE.  The Cyclones played well in Lubbock last week.  I have to think they can play well enough to not lose by this much.  Give me Iowa State.  Say 52-24 or so…..

Georgia State at Texas State(-17.5):  Hmmmm…..this seems large.  The Bobcats have had their ups and downs so far this year, but Georgia State is pretty good about not getting covered……even against the mighty Bama.  Give me Georgia State again!

Arkansas at (1)Alabama(-28.5):  I dont really care for that half, but if South Carolina can blast Arkie in Fayetteville, I have to think the Tide can do it at home.  Give me Alabama.

USC at Notre Dame(-3.5):  This line opened at even odds, and should have stayed there.  USC looked very good on offense last week.  Yes, I know it was at home, but Orgeron is willing to let the offense go all over the field.  I like USC in this one.

Nevada at Boise State(-22.5):  This line seems rather large for a mistake-prone team like the Broncos to cover, even on the Smurf Turf.  Give me Nevada.

Rice(-17.5) at New Mexico State:  Im not sure why this is dropping.  It is down three points, and shouldn’t be.  The Aggies have been thumped by everyone, even in-state rival New Mexico.  I think Rice has to cover this.

(5)Florida State(-3.5) at (3)Clemson:  So…..uh……what does it say for the rankings when a team ranked two slots lower is more than a three point favorite on the road?  This line is absolutely right, by the way.  Except I dont think it will be this close.  Florida State by double digits.

(25)Wisconsin(-13.5) at Illinois:  This looks low considering the Badgers just trampled a pretty good Northwestern team.  Give me W(h)isk(e)y.

Utah State at New Mexico(-10.5):  Whoa, wait a minute!  There is no way the Chuckie-less Aggies should be this big of a dog to New Mexico, even in Las Cruces.  This is too high.  Im taking Utah State.

Utah at Arizona(4.5):  This line is backwards, and that is being too nice.  Utah has played with – and even beaten – much better teams than Arizona.  Utes straight up, and it might not be close.

UNLV at (17)Fresno State(-24.5):  This line is up five points already, and could be higher by kickoff.  I dont really like that half, but UNLV is terrible.  That said, the Bulldogs have played sloppy against inferior competition (Cal-Poly, Hawaii).  They are capable of not covering this.  I guess the only question is whether UNLV is almost as bad as Idaho.  Probably.  Give me Fresno.

Washington State at (2)Oregon(-39.5):  Wow, I hate lines like this, but I said I couldn’t go against Oregon anymore, so Duck U it is…..

Oregon State(-10.5) at California:  This is not the same Beaver team that lost to Eastern Washington in the opener.  This will cover this easily.  Give me the Beavers.

 

 

 

Topics: College Football, College Football Predictions, Picks Against The Spread

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  • rkenny76

    ok let me get this straight u think Iowa State Is gonna beat Baylor…ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha ha….pls don’t make (even though u already did) me laugh.