Week 10 College Football Odds & Predictions

Oct 26, 2013; Tallahassee, FL, USA; Florida State Seminoles quarterback Jameis Winston (5) throws the ball during the game against the North Carolina State Wolfpack at Doak Campbell Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Melina Vastola-USA TODAY Sports

 

In case you missed my Tuesday post, I went 26-27 last week to put me at 230-205 on the season.  On the bright side, I hit my lock again to move that record to 7-2 on the year, and four straight.

Again, this is for entertainment purposes only.  The best I can do is make an educated guess, and maybe give you a little more confidence if you were leaning the same way I am.  Strength in numbers, right?

South Florida at Houston(-19.5):  This line has almost doubled since opening, and it is still WAY too low.  Houston beat Rutgers on the road by 35.  They should do that to the terri-Bulls at home….

Rice at North Texas(-2.5):  This line looks backwards to me.  I like the Mean Green, but McHargue will be too much for the defense.  Rice by a TD.

Louisiana-Monroe at Troy(-3.5):  I dont buy this either.  I like Monroe straight up.

Arizona State(-11.5) at Washington State:  The Sun Devils have been firing on all cylinders for most of the year.  That said, the Leaches are improving by the game, and are at home.  I like this sto stay somewhat close.  Give me Wazzu.

USC at Oregon State(-4.5):  I have a problem thinking that the USC defense can do what Stanford did.  Oregon State should be good for less than a TD at home.  Give me the Beavers.

Virginia Tech(-4.5) at Boston College:  The Eagles could really make a statement here.  Hanging with FSU for a half, and Clemson is nice, but they need to turn one of these into a win.  This could be it.  Im going with Boston College here.

(17)Northern Illinois(-24.5) at Massachusetts:  Have they watched UMass this year?  This is too low.  I dont care how poorly the Husky D has played.  Give me UNI.

Temple at Rutgers(-13.5):  This may be a bit of overcompensation for what Houston just did to them.  The Knights are still two TDs better than Temple.  Give me Rutgers.

Illinois at Penn State(-10.5):  The Penn State defense has been shredded by every good offense in the Big Ten(12).  I think this is a bit too many.  Give me Illinois.

Army at Air Force(EVEN):  This line opened with Air Force favored, and they are at home, so Air Force it is!

(24)Wisconsin(-9.5) at Iowa:  The Hawkeyes are in a world of trouble if they have to pass, and they will at some point in this one.  Give me the Badgers.

(4)Ohio State(-31.5) at Purdue:  It’s not often that I say a 31 point line is too low, but it is.  Teams with less firepower than the Buckeyes have covered this.  Ohio State rolls again!

Mississippi State at (14)South Carolina(-11.5):  This is probably a bit too low as well.  SC got a huge win last weekend.  I think they build on that.  Give me the Cocks.

North Carolina(-5.5) at North Carolina State:  I just dont think I can take an inconsistent Tarheel team on the road in a rivalry game.  Give me NC State.

Wake Forest at Syracuse(-4.5):  The Deacons have turned in two good performances in a row.  Can they do three?  I think so.  Im going with Wake!

Southern Mississippi at Marshall(-30.5):  Wow, I hate this line.  Southern Miss has been horrid, but can Marshall really outscore the Eagles by this?  I have my doubts.  Then again, everyone else, even North Texas, has.  Give me Marshall, I guess…..

Middle Tennessee State(-3.5) at UAB:  The Blue Raiders pulled one out last week against Marshall.  The Herd are much better than UAB.  Give me MTSU.

Western Kentucky(-19.5) at Georgia State:  The Hilltoppers havent exactly looked good lately.  This is too many.  Give me Georgia State.

Arizona(-15.5) at California:  Cal has done nothing to prove they can stay in this game, or any game for that matter.  Give me Arizona.

Georgia(-2.5) vs Florida at Jacksonville:  I dont buy this either.  Georgia does get Todd Gurley back, but will he be 100 percent?  Oh, and the Florida defense is still very good.  Gators straight up.

Minnesota at Indiana(-8.5):  Wow, the Gophers are like Rodney Dangerfield.  They get no respect!  Beating Nebraska wasnt a fluke.  This is too many, and I wouldnt be surprised if Minny won outright.

Navy at (25)Notre Dame(-16.5):  Hmmm…..what have the Irish done to be this big of a favorite?  Absolutely nothing.  Give me Navy.

(21)Michigan at (22)Michigan State(-5.5):  Michigan has looked anywhere from bad to average on the road.  If they dont play up to their ability, they will lose this one.  The question is my how much?  Im thinking a field goal.  Give me Michigan.

Northwestern at Nebraska(-5.5):  Northwestern is still reeling since the Ohio State loss, and word around here is that Martinez isnt starting.  Give me Nebraska then!

UTSA at Tulsa(-3.5):  Im not sure why Tulsa is favored here, other than they are at home.  I actually think Eric Soza might be a better QB that Cody Green.  Give me the Roadrunners straight up!

Kansas at Texas(-27.5):  This is probably too low.  I feel confident taking Texas here.

(8)Clemson(-17.5) at Virginia:  This line actually opened at -20.  It seems as though everyone else is getting used to Clemson not covering too.  Give me Virginia.

Kent State at Akron(-1.5):  Akron has no business being favored here.  Kent straight up.

Iowa State at Kansas State(-16.5):  This looks a little too high for me.  Iowa State has hung with some teams.  That said, K-State was solid against a Baylor team that throttled the Cyclones.  This is a tough one, but give me Iowa State.

West Virginia at TCU(-12.5):  The way TCU has looked lately, I find it hard to take them for nearly two touchdowns here.  Give me West Virginia.

Hawaii at Utah State(-23.5):  I cant take the Aggies for this much without Keaton.  They are learning how to live without him, but this is still too high.  Give me Hawaii.

San Jose State(-3.5) at UNLV:  Dont look now, but the Rebels are just one win away from being bowl eligible.  That is a HUGE deal for them.  I think they get it done here.  UNLV straight up!

Texas State(-10.5) at Idaho:  Too low.  The Vandals have been hammered by everyone.  Expect that to continue.

New Mexico State at Louisiana-Lafayette(-31.5):  The Aggies almost lost to Abilene Christian last week.  They arent even a 1-AA team!  I have to take Lafayette. 

Tulane(-2.5) at Florida Atlantic:  The resignation of Carl Pelini will hang over the Owls here.  Tulane wins BIG. 

(11)Auburn(-7.5) at Arkansas:  This is way too low.  The Piggies havent been able to hang with anyone.  Auburn by a lot!  This is my lock of the week!

East Carolina(-24.5) at Florida International:  Huge line, but the Pirates almost beat the Tarheels in Chapel Hill by this much.  Give me ECU.

Pittsburgh at Georgia Tech(-10.5):  Yuck.  I dont like picking either one of these teams because of inconsistency issues.  That said, Pitt has been worse.  Give me the Bees.

Tennessee at (9)Missouri(-10.5):  This line is falling, but Im not sure why.  Mauk takes care of the ball, and Josey is an outstanding back.  I still like Mizzou to cover this at home.

(18)Oklahoma State at (15)Texas Tech(-2.5):  This is the undercard of the day, and a very good one.  I like Tech to take this one at home.  The Cowboy D has been solid, but I think TT bounces back.

Eastern Michigan at Toledo(-30.5):  This line is up four points already, and I see why.  The Eagles have been really really bad.  Fluellen should have a big game here, and I think Toledo ends up covering this…..barely.

Arkansas State at South Alabama(-2.5):  Well, if the Jaguars can beat Kent at home, they should be able to do the same against Ark State.  Give me South Alabama.

Colorado at (20)UCLA(-27.5):  This is probably too low.  The Ralphies are bad like Leroy Brown, and not in a good way.  Give me UCLA.

New Mexico at San Diego State(-14.5):  I dont like that half.  Give me New Mexico!

Boise State(-7.5) at Colorado State:  No Southwick?  Big problem.  Big enough to lose to the Rams.  No.  But maybe enough to not win by more than a touchdown.  I still like the odds of Boise covering more.  Give me the Broncos.

(7)Miami(FL) at (3)Florida State(-21.5):  I know Miami has been bad, but wow!  Four spots in the rankings is more than 3 touchdowns better?  In this case, yes.  Give me Florida State.

UTEP at (12)Texas A&M(-46.5):  I know UTEP is bad, but Manziel is still nursing the shoulder.  Sumlin will get him some rest in the second half.  Give me UTEP.

Nevada at (16)Fresno State(-20.5):  Anyone else remember the last time Fresno actually covered?  Me either.  Give me Nevada.

 

I will be on vacation next week, but at the very least I still expect to do my odds column.  The results post may or may not get done.  I hope you understand.  :)

 

 

Topics: College Football, Picks Against The Spread, Predictions

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