Well, the college season has almost come to an end again. As for me, I am still trying to reach my goal of 55%, which I have been hovering around for the last month or so. It looks like it will come down to the Bowls, but no matter the outcome, I am still happy picking over 50% right. It’s not as easy as it looks!
These are the results of the week 15 games. Winners against the spread will appear in bold.
Louisville(-3.5) at Cincinnati: HIT! This was one of the few games where I actually took Louisville this year, mostly because Cincy was getting a lot of credit for hammering a bad Rutgers team. The Cardinals sure made me sweat it though…..
Bowling Green vs Northern Illinois(-3.5) at Detroit: HIT! The MAC has to be pissed at the Falcons. They just cost the conference roughly seven million dollars in revenue that would have come with the Huskies’ BCS bowl berth.
Oklahoma at Oklahoma State(-10.5): HIT! I thought the line was just a bit high, but I never thought we would win this game outright. The best part about this was that we didn’t help Texas win the Big 12. Our reward for shocking the Cowboys? Alabama, who accoring to Vegas would still be favored against every team. I never thought I would say this, but we might have been better off losing. Oh well, you want to play the best, right? I’m just hoping we dont lose by four touchdowns. Anything under that would be a moral victory…..
Marshall(-6.5) at Rice: HIT! The Owls won their first conference title in 56 years! Congratulations!
Central Florida(-10.5) at SMU: MISS! I had no way of knowing this was going to be a modern-day Ice Bowl, but I don’t know if it would have mattered anyway. UCF already had a BCS berth locked up, and they looked disinterested at best……much as they have for the last month. To those of you that think a playoff wont destroy the college football regular season, I present the Central Florida Knights as exhibit 1A.
Memphis at Connecticut(EVEN): HIT! It may have taken the Huskies two months to get into a groove, but they are in it now! They beat a team by 35 when the line was even!
Texas at Baylor(-15.5): MISS! I knew better than this. Serves me right for picking Texas…..
Missouri vs Auburn(-1.5) at Atlanta: MISS! Auburn didn’t even need their lucky horseshoe to knock the Tigers all the way into the Cotton Bowl…..
South Florida at Rutgers(-4.5): HIT! The Bulls are just glad the season is over. Results didn’t matter any more at this point….
Stanford at Arizona State(-2.5): MISS! I got too caught up in the way the Sun Devils looked over the last month. Stanford dominated them the exact way they did in the conference opener, setting up what should be a very good Rose Bowl against Michigan State.
Louisiana-Lafayette at South Alabama(-2.5): HIT! I hit my lock again to finish the season 11-4 in lock picks. This line was easy money. Where did they come up with this??
Duke vs Florida State(-28.5) at Charlotte: HIT! Watching GameDay on Saturday morning, I soon realized that I was about the only one that expected Duke to get blown out, but I never once questioned this pick. Duke had a great year, but the Noles are so much better than everyone else in the ACC, it’s comical. They proved that by trouncing Miami and Clemson. Why would Duke hang around when the other two couldn’t?
Ohio State(-5.5) vs Michigan State at Indianapolis: HIT! This is what happens when you don’t play a top 15 team for nearly three years. You forget just how good they can be. To be honest, I thought the Spartans were done when the Bucks came back and took the lead after trailing 17-0, but the Spartans were able to keep the Buckeyes off the board after that and mustered enough offense to win. All you Auburn fans should thank Notre Dame for beating Sparty. MSU might have had the schedule to stay ahead of you in the BCS rankings where Ohio State did not. The only think Sparty did was keep the Ohio State fans from rioting after Auburn jumped them……
Utah State at Fresno State(-3.5): HIT! Can you imagine if the Bulldogs had a defense? They might be taking on Baylor, and they would have saved me from seeing my beloved Sooners get embarrassed by Bama.
So that put me at 11-4 in Championship week to put my season total at 394-324, or 54.88% Sure, I could be cheap and round up, but I don’t plan on it. And I still have the Bowls to survive anyway. The Bowls have not been very kind to me over the last five years. I have only picked 50% or better against the spread in bowl games twice in that span, so I have to step it up this year. After my best regular season on record, I am ready for the challenge. At least I hope I am…..
There is only one game this week, and then the Bowls start next weekend. I will do the bowls a little differently. I will be adding a full preview to each game along with my pick. I will only be doing a few at a time to ensure the most accurate odds possible.
Army vs Navy(-13.5) at Philadelphia: This seems low. Navy is going to a bowl, and Army trudged to another disappointing season. I have to go with Navy here.
Stay tuned for the first round of bowl picks, which I should have done by Thursday or Friday!