Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Fantasy Basketball: Kevin Martin won’t sustain early season production


Kevin Martin

Russ Isabella-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Timberwolves’ Kevin Martin started off this season on a torrid pace, placing himself in the top 20 of many early season rankings.

One of the Ten Commandments of fantasy basketball (well fantasy sports in general really) is getting value.  We do it in our drafts, looking for guys who will exceed their draft slot in terms of what they give to us.  We do it when we scour the waiver wire, looking for a player who will contribute to our team over the course of the season.  And we also need to do it in the trade market.

The fantasy basketball trade market is a lot like the stock exchange.  Buying stocks at their lowest price and then selling them when they get as high as you think they will go is the way you make money dabbling in stocks and shares.  The same goes for fantasy basketball.  You try to trade away a player on your team who you don’t think can sustain his current level of production and you trade for players who are currently underperforming, hoping they regain their mojo once they are on your team.

Over the next few days, I’ll present to you a few guys you should be looking to trade for in order to bolster your squad as we inch towards the fantasy playoffs, as well as some players you should be looking to cash in your chips on, such as Marc Gasol and Trevor Ariza.

Sell High: Kevin Martin, SG, Minnesota Timberwolves

For a guy who was going around the 10th round of most drafts, Kevin Martin was one of the pleasant surprises early in the fantasy basketball season.  At the end of November Martin ranked 13th overall on Basketball Monster.com’s rankings – well above were you would’ve drafted him.

After that, however, Martin began to revert back to where most projections had him.  He is currently ranked 42nd for the season, and just by knowing who Martin is as a player, I can only see that dropping.

In the past month, Martin is averaging 1.7 less points, 0.4 less three-pointers, 0.4 less rebounds, 0.2 less assists, 0.4 less steals and 0.1 more turnovers per game, as well as a 7.2 percent dip in free throw shooting compared with season averages, a sure sign that the bubble has burst.

Fresh off a 26-point, three three-pointer performance against the Golden State Warriors on Friday, it’s the perfect time to trade Martin to someone could see this performance as a sign that Martin is coming back to his November form.  In the past week he has put together some solid numbers — averaging 21.3 points, two three-pointers, three rebounds and two assists — allowing you to reclaim some value on the slumping shooting guard.

Some players I’d look to target for Martin include J.J. Redick, Wilson Chandler, Gordon Hayward, Kemba Walker and Derrick Favors.  Don’t get me wrong, Martin still has quite a bit of value, but maximizing his value over this mini resurgence is worth it if it helps your team make a push toward the end of the season.



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