Daily Fantasy can be a tedious endeavor!
Let us do the dirty work for you with “High Five/Low Five”. Each day, we help put you in the money by presenting you with FIVE of the “top-tier” plays, as well as a quick list of FIVE “value plays”. Today’s top plays are led by the Suns’ Goran Dragic and the Blazers’ LaMarcus Aldridge. For a look at how last night’s picks fared, scroll to the bottom of the article.
Let’s hit it. Today’s HIGH FIVE:
Point Guard: Goran Dragic, PHX ($8,000): Rarely have the Cavaliers and Kyrie Irving been able to stop opposing PGs this year, so it’s with good reason that we should expect tonight to be no different when the Suns’ come to town. The Dragon has been burning it up since the calendar turned to 2014, averaging 21.7 points, 4.4 rebounds, and 6.5 assists, while Cleveland has spent most of the month dead last against the PG in fantasy points per game (FPG). Dragic should have no problem matching his averages for the month, at worst, and stands a good chance at besting them in what should be a close game.
Also Consider: Isaiah Thomas, SAC ($8,200)
Shooting Guard: Klay Thompson, GS ($6,200): There’s no sense in hiding it, the shooting guard position is a mess up top today. It’s full of less than desirable matchups for less than desirable players, while the best matchups involve inconsistent players that I have a hard time putting on my roster. That said, Klay Thompson is facing a Portland team that’s 23rd versus SGs over the past two weeks in a game the features a 218 over/under (O/U) and figures to be close. I’m not saying he reaches value, but I feel he’s a safer bet for 25-30 FPs than any of the other top options.
Small Forward: Wilson Chandler, DEN ($6,100): Much like shooting guard, small forward leaves you wondering, “Who forgot to put sugar in the Kool-Aid ?” Either way, Willy Chan, who’s been averaging 21 points over his last five games, gets a Sacramento team that will be without Rudy Gay,in what should be a fairly high scoring game. If he can get his points tonight and contribute minimally in the peripheral categories, he should reach value.
Power Forward: LaMarcus Aldridge, POR ($11,100): Aldridge may be the top priced player of the night, but he also stands a great chance at being the top scoring player of the night, as well. The Warriors are among the leagues worst at defending opposing PFs and as mentioned previously, this game has an O/U of 218 and figures to be close most of the way. Aldridge has been averaging nearly 30 points and 13 rebounds over his last 10 games and should be a lock to keep that momentum going against David Lee and company.
Also consider: Anthony Davis, NO ($9,400)
Center: Anderson Varejao, CLE ($7,9000): Sideshow Bob figures to be among the main attractions for the Cavaliers when they square off against the Suns later today. Over his last 10 contests Varejao has been every bit the “Joakim Noah Lite” that people often say he is, and he should have no problem getting his usual 10-15 points, along with a load of rebounds and a nice complement of assists to boot.
Also consider: Andrew Bogut, GS ($6,200)
Today’s low five:
Point Guard: Brian Roberts, NO ($4,700): Since taking over for the injured Jrue Holiday, Roberts has performed admirably — especially when the match up has favored him — which it most certainly does today against the Magic. I believe that he has a floor of 20 FPs with a ceiling as high as 30 FPs, making him the top value play at the position.
Scoring Guard: Randy Foye, DEN ($5,400): Over his last 10 games Foye has been consistently reaching 25-30 FPs, which puts him at or above “value” for his price. In a game against Sacramento that has a 215 O/U, he should have no problem replicating his previous success.
Small Forward: Shawn Marion, DAL ($5,100): Though he’s been somewhat inconsistent as of late, Marion has a nice matchup with a Detroit team that ranks 23rd against SF over the last two weeks, and as such, he should be good for 20-25 FPs, which would put him at, or close to value.
Power Forward: Kenneth Faried, DEN ($5,300): Save for a few games last week when he was battling illness, “Manimal” has been on fire, routinely dusting up opponents for more than 30 FPs. Look for him to have similar success tonight against Sacramento’s subpar PF combo and if Boogie sits, even better.
Center: Timofey Mozgov, DEN ($3,800): Head Coach Brian Shaw recently said they’d be looking to get Mozgov more touches and it showed last game. With not a lot of low-end options available, Mozgov should be the top punt option at C and should have no problem reaching value, while having the upside to exceed it significantly like he did last night when he was part of our list.
Good luck tonight !!!
About Last Night:
Typically, in your cash games on FanDuel.com you’re going to want to shoot for a score of approximately 300 FPs, as a score in this range will put you in the money in cash games such as Double Ups and 50/50s on almost any given night. Using this number as our goal, we are able to establish the “value threshold” (VT) or # of FPs a player needs to “reach value” for their salary on any given day in order to achieve the ideal score of 300. If we then compare their VT with their “actual FPs” (AFP) and illustrate that as a %, we are able to grade each player or pick. Just as in winning, 1.000 is optimal.
Damian Lillard, POR ($7,500): VT: 37.5, AFP: 21.7, %: .578
DeMar DeRozan, TOR ($8,700): VT: 43.5, AFP: 20.0, %: .459
Kevin Durant, OKC ($12,100): VT: 60.5, AFP: 66.8, %: 1.104
Kevin Love, MIN ($10,800): VT: 54.5, AFP: 37.6, %: .696
Nikola Pekovic, MIN ($7,700): VT: 38.5, AFP: 39.2, %: 1.102
Overall %: .792
George Hill, IND ($4,900): VT: 24.5, AFP: 23, %: .938
Louis Williams, ATL ($4,000): VT: 20.0, AFP: 24.5, %: 1.225
James Johnson, MEM ($4,400): VT: 22.0, AFP: 34.8, %: 1.582
Gustavo Ayon, ATL ($3,500): VT: 17.5, AFP: 16.8, %: .960
Timofey Mozgov, DEN ($3,800): VT: 19.0, AFP: 29.9, %: 1.574
Overall %: 1.252
TOTAL OVERALL % (HIGH FIVE/low five): .933 (279.9 FPs out of an ideal 300)
With last night being low scoring, a lineup consisting of : Damian Lillard, George Hill, DeMar DeRozan, Lou Williams, Kevin Durant, James Johnson, Kevin Love, Gustavo Ayon and Timofey Mozgov would have scored 275.1 FPs and cashed in any and all 50/50s, Double Ups, and Triple Ups in the $1 to $10 range.