HIGH FIVE/low five
Daily Fantasy can be quite the grind ! Let us do the grinding for you with “High Five/Low Five”. Each day, we help put you in the money by presenting you with FIVE of the “top-tier” plays, as well as a quick list of FIVE “value plays”. Today’s top plays are led by Warriors’ point guard and first-time All-Star, Stephen Curry; for a look at how last night’s picks fared scroll to the bottom of the article.
Let’s get shakin’. HIGH FIVE:
Point Guard: Stephen Curry, GS ($10,100): First time All-Star, Stephen Curry is in the midst of a great season, going supernova as of late, topping 50 FPs in four out of his last five games. Tonight, Curry gets a Wizards team ranked 22nd against PGs over the last two weeks in a game that has one of the better over/unders (O/U) of the night at 206. In their previous meeting this year, Curry put up 14 pts and 10 ast, despite a poor shooting performance. As hot as he’s been of late, I would not expect a repeat of that, but rather your typical lights out shooting performance that we’ve come to expect. Expect +25 points, along with the usual complement of assists and rebounds.
Also consider: Tony Parker, SAN ($7,000)
Shooting Guard: Lance Stephenson, IND ($7,800): Lance Stephenson is a threat for a near triple-double on almost any night, so when facing a Lakers’ squad that is dead last versus SGs, I’d say the chances of that happening tonight are at their best. Over his last five games, Lance has been tearing up opposing teams to the tune of 17.8 points 9.4 rebounds, 6.2 assists, and aside from a poor performance against PHX last week, has topped 35 FPs in five out of six contests, besting 40 FPs four times in that span. Play him.
Also consider: Bradley Beal, WAS ($6,800)
Small Forward: Paul George, IND ($9,100): George has been a little up and down as of late as far as FPs are concerned, but that by no means makes him a fade, given the volatility of the other top players at his position. Fact of the matter is, George is more dependable than any of his counterparts at SF for +35 FPs and the most likely to reach that 50 FP upside. Tonight he’ll face the Lakers who have proven incapable of defending the SF position all season long. If you’re going to roster one of the top priced SFs, make it George.
Also consider: Josh Smith, DET ($8,200)
Power Forward: Tim Duncan, SA ($8,200): The Big Fundamental may not end the night as the top scoring PF, but as far as value is concerned, Timmy D just might your man. Though his minutes are sometimes an issue, they rarely are against top opponents in close games, criteria under which tonight’s game surely falls. Despite two underwhelming performances in home losses versus HOU earlier this year, Duncan has averaged over 32 FPs. With tonight’s game in HOU, I expect the Spurs will look to return the favor and avenge their earlier homes losses with a victory on the road tonight. Duncan will need be a big part of that, and I suspect he will be.
Also consider: Anthony Davis, NO ($9,700)
Center: Andre Drummond, DET ($7,700): Last time out against Nikola Vucevic and the Magic, Andre was able to post a double-double in just 23 minutes of action — even in a blowout loss. With no Vucevic to contend with tonight, you can expect different strokes for Mr. Drummond and the Pistons tonight. As such, it appears to be all systems go for the big fella against a vastly undersized Magic frontline. I’m expecting +15 in both points and rebounds and a few swats.
Also consider: Anderson Varejao, CLE ($7,600)
Point Guard: Brian Roberts, NO ($4,600): Once again, Roberts makes the low five list. Needing only 23 FPs to reach value tonight, I expect him to be at or near that against a Cavaliers’ squad that has been atrocious against PGs all season long. Kyrie Irving couldn’t guard me and he won’t be able to guard Roberts tonight. If you’re looking for a cheap play at PG tonight, go with Roberts and expect 20-25 FPs in what should be a close game.
Also consider: George Hill, IND ($5,100)
Shooting Guard: Rodney Stuckey, DET ($4,500): Stuckey has topped 20 FPs in five out of his last six contests, going over 30 FPs twice in that span. In what should be one of the higher scoring games of the night, similar output can be expected from Detroit’s bench spark.
Also consider: Courtney Lee, MEM ($5,300)
Small Forward: James Johnson, MEM ($5,200): Johnson has topped 20 FPs in seven out his last ten games, frequently nearing 30 FPs while flashing +35 FP upside. That sort of production cannot be beat at his price level, and tonight against a Blazers’s squad ranked 27th versus SF over the past two weeks, similar production can be expected.
Power Forward: Nene Hilario, WAS ($6,400): A little pricier than we normally like to go with the low five picks, Nene is nearly a must play tonight against a Warriors squad ranked near the bottom against PF. Nene has hit near 30 Fps in his last three contests and should be deployed with confidence tonight.
Center: Tyson Chandler, NYK ($5,100): Chandler has been a little up and down as of late, but I like his chances against the smaller Boston frontcourt tonight. I think he’s got great double-double potential and is the top play among the low dollar centers.
Also strongly consider: Roy Hibbert, IND ($6,000)
Good luck tonight !!!
About Last NIght:
Typically, in your cash games on FanDuel.com you’re going to want to shoot for a score of approximately 300 FPs, as a score in this range will put you in the money in cash games such as Double Ups and 50/50s on almost any given night. Using this number as our goal, we are able to establish the “value threshold” (VT) or # of FPs a player needs to “reach value” for their salary on any given day in order to achieve the ideal score of 300. If we then compare their VT with their “actual FPs” (AFP) and illustrate that as a %, we are able to grade each player or pick. Just as in winning, 1.000 is optimal.
Isaiah Thomas, SAC ($8,400): VT: 42.0 AFP: 21.4 %: .509
Gordon Heyward, UTA ($7,800): VT: 39.0 AFP: 30.2 %: .774
Kevin Durant, OKC ($12,400): VT: 62.0 AFP: 59.3 %: .956
Blake Griffin, LAC ($10,100): VT: 50.5 AFP: 32.0 %: .634
DeAndre Jordan, LAC ($7,500): VT: 37.5 AFP: 33.6 %.896
Overall %: .764
Shelvin Mack, ATL ($4,300): VT: 21.5 AFP: 29.3 %: 1.363
Terrence Ross ($4,600): VT: 23.0 AFP: 20.4 %: .850
P.J. Tucker, PHX ($5,100): VT: 25.5 AFP: 30.1 %: 1.180
Jason Thompson, SAC ($4,400): VT: 22.0 AFP: 36.7 %: 1.668
Enes Kanter, UTA ($4,900): VT: 24.5 AFP: 17.6 %: .718
Overall %: 1.141
TOTAL OVERALL %: .891
Though our top pick, Isaiah Thomas‘ performance was literally nauseating, there were plenty of other great plays among the players listed in yesterday’s article and several winning combinations to be had. A roster of Goran Dragic, Shelvin Mack, Jamal Crawford, Terrence Ross, Kevin Durant, Evan Turner, Jason Thompson, and Derrick Williams, and DeAndre Jordan scored a 326.8 and cashed in any and every cash game in the $1 to $10 range, as well as some GPPs. Again, that is just one example among several winning combinations.