It goes without saying that every year players will go early in Fantasy Baseball Drafts after having big season’s the prior year.
It also goes without saying that a lot of those guys will regress after posting big numbers, in the process driving fantasy owners crazy.
This season will be no different as there are plenty of guys who won’t live up to their impressive 2013 campaigns.
Here’s a look at 10 guys to tread cautiously as they could experience a big dip in numbers in 2014.
Chris Davis, 1B, Baltimore Orioles
Ok. Raise your hands if you expected Davis to hit 53 homers and drive in 138 runs on draft day last season.
I didn’t expect to see any hands.
I fully expect for Davis to be productive again in 2014, but I also don’t expect for him to come close to his numbers of 2013. A regression is natural as there is a better than good chance that we have seen the best season of Davis’ career.
There are some concerns, beginning with the fact that he still struck out in 29.6 percent of his plate appearances, which was the seventh-highest rate of 2013. He also still struggles against left-handed pitching some times, although his .763 OPS against southpaws was respectable.
Finally, Davis hit only .245 with less than half of his first-half totals in homers, RBI and runs during the second half of the season.
I like Davis for power, but he is currently being selected anywhere from fifth overall to eighth and I don’t expect he will give you proper value in that slot.