Matt Carpenter, 2B, St. Louis Cardinals
Carpenter is expected to be a fantasy stud this season after almost coming out of nowhere to hit .318 with a whopping 55 doubles and scored an insane 126 runs, which were both MLB best numbers.
He is being drafted among the top 70 picks in most drafts and I just don’t see him paying off in that spot.
For him produce in his draft slot, Carpenter would have to be among the league leaders in both average and runs scored again and that isn’t likely to happen and it is hard to predict. Carpenter doesn’t offer a whole lot in terms of power, so he is being drafted high on the premise that he will hit .325 and score 120 runs.
While I feel carpenter will be very good, I just don’t envision that happening.
Carlos Gomez, OF, Milwaukee Brewers
Gomez emerged as a fantasy stud, setting career-high numbers with a .284 AVG, 80 R, 73 RBI, 24 HR, and 40 SB.
His ADP right now is 34 and it is almost foolish to believe that Gomez will hit similar numbers across the board in consecutive seasons.
His walk (6.3 percent) and strikeout (24.7 percent) rates and BABIP (.344) are all indicators that Gomez is due for a regression in 2014.
Mike Cuddyer, OF, Colorado Rockies
Cuddyer went nuts last season, leading the National League with a .331 batting average. He also posted a .382 BABIP (third in baseball)
This comes from a career .277 hitter.
The facts are that you shouldn’t expect another career year from Cuddyer and he is unlikely to produce numbers that are worthy of his ADP of 83.
He will be 35 on Opening Day and has had a career filled with injuries Proceed with caution.