HIGH FIVE/low five
Daily Fantasy can be quite the grind! Let us do the grinding for you with “High Five/Low Five”. Each day we help put you in the money by presenting you with FIVE of the “top-tier” plays, as well as a quick list of FIVE “value plays”. San Antonio Spurs PF Tim Duncan flies high as Tuesday’s top Daily Fantasy Basketball play of the night.
Let’s rip it up.
Point Guard: Chris Paul, LAC ($8,200): So long as Chris Paul’s salary remains this low on FanDuel, he will be the obvious top play at the PG position — especially on nights when he has a plus matchup in a close, high scoring game. Tonight’s game against the San Antonio Spurs definitely fits that description with an over/under of 211, a spread of five points, and the Spurs defense ranking just 27th in recent weeks vs. the PG position. Fresh off a 20-point, 12-assist game that was good for 45.8 FPs vs. the Blazers, Paul should be able to put up similar numbers tonight against the Spurs. With an expected floor of 40 FPs, and definite 50 FP upside, take advantage of the low salary while you can and roster Chris Paul.
Also consider: Kyrie Irving, CLE ($8,100)
Shooting Guard: DeMar DeRozan, TOR ($8,800): Shooting guard is a quite the mess tonight, and though DeRozan is the most expensive option, he also represents the safest play as far as his floor goes. On a night with a lot of potential volatility and not a lot of great options at the position, paying up for the guy most likely to get you 30 FPs can be a wise investment — even if that player may not necessarily reach his actual value. Tonight, DeRozan represents that type of play in a decent matchup vs. the Washington Wizards. DeRozan has eclipsed the 30 FP mark in five of his last seven games and should do so again tonight. Roster him for that and hope he reaches value.
Small Forward: LeBron James, MIA ($11,200): The King is back and should be featured heavily on your rosters tonight. Save for the poor game against the Utah Jazz a few games back, LeBron has topped 45 FPs in six straight games, going over 57 FPs in five out of those contests. With Dwyane Wade still looking banged up, LeBron should be counted on for similar production tonight in a high scoring game vs. the Dallas Mavericks. Add in that Dallas ranks dead last against opposing SFs over the past two weeks, and you’ve got all the makings of a must own player. We’re looking at a 45 FP floor tonight, with 60 FP upside tonight. As such, do whatever you can to fit LeBron into your roster at a position with not a lot of stellar options.
Power Forward: Tim Duncan, SA ($8,600): Although you can’t go wrong with Blake Griffin, LAC ($10,000) at PF tonight, I prefer Tim Duncan for $1,400 less in the same game with a better matchup. This game should be close and high scoring, thus a well rested Duncan could get big minutes against a Los Angeles Clippers defense that ranks only 27th vs. opposing PFs over the past 15 days. Even if the big minutes aren’t there, an increased share of the offensive load with Tony Parker being out, should be enough to mitigate any minutes concerns there may be with Duncan. With a value threshold of just 43 FPs tonight, Duncan should get very close to that with an expected floor in the 35 FP range. So while he may not have the upside of Blake Griffin, I’m betting he achieves a higher percentage of his value, and that’s extremely valuable in Daily Fantasy Hoops.
Center: Nikola Vucevic, ORL ($6,500): I’m going a little bit lower than usual with this selection, but both the price and matchup are perfect. Even though Milwaukee ranks just 20th vs. opposing centers recently, that number is not truly indicative of how weak they actually are now, given all the injuries to their front court. Also, given Vucevic’s recent performance vs. the tough frontcourts of the Indiana Pacers and the Memphis Grizzlies, having his way with the Milwaukee big men should not be a problem tonight. I’m expecting Vucevic to reach his value threshold of 32.5 FPs sometime in the third quarter tonight, and wouldn’t be at all surprised if he had it by halftime.