HIGH FIVE/low five
Daily Fantasy can be quite the grind! Let us do the grinding for you with “High Five/Low Five”. Each day we help put you in the money by presenting you with FIVE of the “top-tier” plays, as well as a quick list of FIVE “value plays”. Houston Rockets’ C Dwight Howard flies high as Sunday’s top Daily Fantasy Basketball play of the night.
Let’s rip it up.
Point Guard: Damian Lillard, POR ($7,700): There are a few nice plays at the PG position for tonight’s slate, including John Wall, WAS ($9,000) and Isaiah Thomas, SAC ($7,900), but my money is on Lillard tonight. Lillard will once again benefit from LaMarcus Aldridge‘s absence, as he has in the past two games, scoring over 40 FPs. Also in Lillard’s favor this evening is that he’ll be facing the weak defense of Ricky Rubio, in a game that should feature plenty of offensive opportunity given the over/under of 214. For those reasons, Lillard will be my top play. That said, it’s very close between him and Isaiah Thomas for my top spot and for similar reasons. Keep an eye on the DeMarcus Cousins‘ situation and consider Isaiah Thomas an equal play if Cousins is out.
Shooting Guard: Wesley Matthews, POR ($6,100): While there may be a few SGs that have a chance to outscore Wesley Matthews, on a pure point per dollar basis, I think Matthews is among the safest bets to provide a valued return on his salary given his matchup this evening vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Timberwolves rank in the bottom half of the league vs. SGs in the past 15 days and tonight’s game should be among the higher scoring of the night. Not to mention, Matthews will be shouldering a bigger share of the offensive load with LaMarcus Aldridge out of the lineup again, just as he has in the last two games in which he’s scored 29.1 and 33.5 FPs. Once you take all of that into account, you start to get a real sense that Matthews can reach the 30.5 FPs needed for value.
Small Forward: Rudy Gay, SAC ($7,600): Rudy Gay has scored over 30 FPs in each of his last four games and should be able to do so once again with DeMarcus Cousins expected to be out of the lineup vs. the Denver Nuggets tonight. Denver ranks just 26th against SFs in recent weeks and in a high scoring game, Gay should have plenty of opportunity to exceed his value threshold of 38 FPs. Given all the circumstances, I’m setting the floor at about 35 FPs, with a great chance to push into the 40-45 FP range.
Power Forward: Kevin Love, MIN ($11,500): I really shouldn’t have to say anything about Kevin Love at this point, but I will. For starters, if you didn’t own Kevin Love last night, you probably didn’t win any money and you’re probably wondering what you were thinking. Love has been on an absolute tear as of late, having topped 50 FPs in six of his last seven contests, and stands a great chance to do so again tonight vs. the Portland Trail Blazers in what is expected to be a high scoring affair. The Blazers will not only be without LaMarcus Aldridge, but also rank in the bottom third of the league at defending the PF position. There is some decent value to be had out there tonight, so Love isn’t quite a must play, but he’s as close as you’ll get tonight. As such, he should make the cut for the majority, if not all of your rosters.
Center: Dwight Howard, HOU ($9,300): With DeMarcus Cousins expected to be out tonight, Howard becomes the top play of the night at the center position. Phoenix is not among the best at defending the center position, and with James Harden either out or expected to be hampered by injury, Howard should be the focal point of the Houston offense, in addition to having plenty of chances for rebounds and blocks against an undersized Phoenix Suns’ front court in what will be a high scoring and hotly contested game. Howard has surpassed 40 FPs in each of his games since the break and should have no problem doing so again tonight. Let’s call 40 FPs his floor and not be surprised if he hits 50.