HIGH FIVE/low five
Daily Fantasy can be quite the grind! Let us do the grinding for you with “High Five/Low Five”. Each day we help put you in the money by presenting you with FIVE of the “top-tier” plays, as well as a quick list of FIVE “value plays”. Detroit Pistons’ SF Josh Smith flies high as Monday’s top Daily Fantasy Basketball play.
Let’s rip it up.
Point Guard: Isaiah Thomas, SAC ($8,500): Thomas has a superb matchup against the 29th ranked defense vs. PGs, when he squares off against the New Orleans Pelicans at home. The 205 over/under in this game is one of the highest of the night and with a spread of just four points, it’s also a game that should remain competitive. Thomas has averaged 35+ FPs over his last five games and should have similar success again tonight, with considerable upside.
Damian Lillard also has a similarly enticing matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, though with the risk of blowout given the 12-point spread, I’ll consider Thomas to be a slightly safer play.
Shooting Guard: Gordon Hayward, UTA ($6,500): Hayward has averaged above value over his last three games and seems to have found his stroke, shooting over 50 percent in that time. He’s also averaging over six rebounds and six assists, to go with nearly 19 points in that span. In a close game against the Milwaukee Bucks tonight, Hayward will need to produce and I expect he will. 30 FPs seems like the floor, while the upside of a 40 FP night is definitely there.
Small Forward: Josh Smith, DET ($8,600): Smith has been averaging nearly 40 minutes a game over the past week and producing nearly one fantasy point per minute, regardless of matchup. Smith will need 43 FPs for value tonight, and while that number may not be a guarantee, I think 35 FPs or so is doable. That 35 FP floor is what puts Smith slightly ahead of my other top play at SF, Rudy Gay, whose floor is slightly lower at just 30 FPs. Either way, both players are fine plays tonight with similar upside.
Nicolas Batum is also worth considering for about $1,500 less. Batum doesn’t have near the upside of Smith or Gay, but could possibly represent a better value play given his lower price and matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, who’ve given up the most points to opposing SFs.
Power Forward: Kevin Love, MIN ($11,600): His name is Kevin Love and he’s averaging over 56 FPs over his last five games. Not that matchup is really a factor with him, but his opponent for tonight, the Denver Nuggets, have given up the 11th most points to opposing PFs over the last ten games. Love will likely be among the top-three performers tonight with perhaps the best chance at being the top performer. I won’t tell you that he’s a must play across the board, but you should at least have some exposure to him if you are playing multiple rosters.
Center: DeMarcus Cousins, SAC ($9,300): Among the three players at his price point tonight, I consider Cousins to be the top option. In two games vs. the New Orleans Pelicans this year, Cousins has averaged over 48 FPs, including 51.2 FPs in his most recent game against them. This game should be high scoring and competitive throughout, which should only adds to Cousin’s value, considering that his previous two games vs. New Orleans were decided by 13 and 17 points.
Stepping down a tier, I’m all about Nikola Pekovic, MIN ($7,100) who seemingly never missed a beat following his return from an ankle injury. In just 29 minutes vs. the Kings, Pekovic able put up 31.8 FPs. With similar or slightly increased minutes tonight he should at least be able to replicate that performance against a Denver Nuggets team that has given up the fourth-most points to opposing centers in the past 15 days.