Heading into the season, the biggest question surrounding fantasy baseball drafts is which shortstop should be coming off the board first, the Los Angeles Dodgers’ Hanley Ramirez or the Colorado Rockies’ Troy Tulowitzki?
The consensus among most drafts so far weigh heavily in the favor of Ramirez as he is typically going in the first round with an ADP of 11.2, while Tulowitzki is going six picks later in the second round with an ADP of 17.2.
Given a choice though, I’m going to have to buck the trend here and call Tulo my top shortstop heading into the 2014 season.
Tulowitzki’s biggest problem is injury concerns. If he can stay healthy, I expect huge things from the Colorado SS.
So many aspects of his offensive game are elite. It’s just a matter of time until he puts in a fully healthy season and wins an MVP.
That could happen this season.
Ramirez on the other hand I also like, but have a few more concerns.
His projections also depend on good health but I am a bit concerned that an elevated BABIP of .363 helps fuel his .338 AVG last year.
That should regress in 2014. Remember that Ramirez is coming off two seasons in which he hit .255 (2012) and .240 (2011) before exploding last year.
He is 30 now and while he rediscovered the form early in his career that made him one of the top shortstop options, can anyone really predict that he won’t revert back to his struggles?
Ramirez should put up a good season and is going to be the first shortstop off the board, but I have a hard time believing in him enough to put up big numbers across the board.
He will be good, but I don’t know if he will produce at a first or second round worth rate and the injuries are always a concern when dealing with Ramirez. Injuries are an issue with Tulo as well but add things all up and I prefer him at the top of my list this season.
Here’s how I project both players.
Tulowitzki: .300 AVG, 30 HR, 100 RBI, 5 SB
Ramirez: .285 AVG, 25 HR, 85 RBI, 15 SB
You really can’t go wrong with either player but with injury concerns with both players, I don’t think it is necessarily worth paying an extra price for 10-15 extra steals. At the end of the day, I feel Tulowitzki is going to give me so much more throughout the season.
I just have to have my fingers crossed that he stays healthy.
With that being said, let’s take a look at how my Top 30 shortstops rank.