HIGH FIVE/low five
Daily Fantasy can be quite the grind! Let us do the grinding for you with “High Five/Low Five”. Each day we help put you in the money by presenting you with FIVE of the “top-tier” plays, as well as a quick list of FIVE “value plays”. Chicago Bulls’ C Joakim Noah is Monday’s top Daily Fantasy Basketball play.
Let’s rip it up.
Point Guard: Chris Paul, LAC ($9,400): Though he hasn’t exactly been hitting value, CP3 has been on a roll lately, averaging better than 40 FPs over his last six contests.
He should have no problem besting that number again in what expects to be the highest scoring game of the evening. Value for Paul is a robust 47 FPs. If there is anyone that can hit that number tonight, it’s Chris Paul vs. a Denver Nuggets defense that has surrendered the eighth-most FPs to opposing PGs over the last 15 days.
This is a plus matchup for both players. In addition, Walker has fared much better at home this year, while Teague enters the game have put up back to back 34+ FP games.
Shooting Guard: Jimmy Butler, CHI ($6,600): There are a few decent plays here tonight at the top of the SG list, including James Harden, HOU ($9,400), Gordon Hayward, UTA ($7,000), and Lance Stephenson, IND ($7,200), whom all have nice matchups. However, it’s Jimmy Butler that I think has the best chance at achieving the highest percentage of his value threshold, which is just 33 FPs this evening.
Granted, Butler did deliver a 15 FP dud last time out, but most of that can be attributed to an atypical 1-of-11 shooting performance. Tonight he’ll be squaring off against a Oklahoma City Thunder defense that ranks dead last vs. SGs over the past 10 games. Not to mention, this is expected to be a competitive game and Butler should receive his usual complement of big minutes. Big minutes in a competitive game against a poor defense should be all that Butler needs to get back on track and produce in the 30 FP range.
Just to note, I would put Hayward, Harden, and Stephenson in that order based on their ability to achieve the highest percentage of their value threshold.
Small Forward: There is nothing to fall in love with at SF tonight.
Our top option, Kevin Durant, OKC ($11,800) seems incredibly high-priced for his matchup with a tough Chicago Bulls defense. The next guy down, Paul George, IND ($8,500) is unlikely to see much more than 30 minutes in a likely blowout vs. Philadelphia and his production can’t be trusted to be there. I’m also not particularly fond of Chandler Parsons, HOU ($6,600) and his third/fourth wheel status in a matchup against a Utah Jazz team that ranks 11th vs. SFs.
Green and Carroll have been the most consistent of the four recently, while Chandler and Barnes, in facing one another, have the better matchup. All in all, I’d say each of them have a chance at 25-30 FPs and would probably rank them in the order I have them above. One thing of note, if Darren Collison were to miss tonight’s game, I’d probably move Barnes up. So keep an eye on that situation.
Power Forward: Blake Griffin, LAC ($9,800): Blake takes the cake as tonight’s top PF option vs. a Denver Nuggets’ team that has given up the second-most FPs to opposing PFs over the last 15 days. He’ll need a robust 49 FPs to reach value, but he should be able to get within range of that in this high scoring contest. Griffin went for 36 points, 11 rebounds, and five assists last time out vs. the Nuggets, and has averaged 30.5 points, 13 rebounds and five assists against them this year.
Center: Joakim Noah, CHI ($9,300): Noah has been on fire recently, averaging nearly 45 FPs over his last six games. Oklahoma City does rank 10th over the past 15 days vs. opposing centers, so there may be some concern there. However, with Noah having proven to be matchup proof, we can throw that out the window.
In their only other meeting this year, Noah was able to post 23 points and 12 rebounds, in just under 30 minutes. With a few more minutes tonight and a handful of assists, there is no reason Noah shouldn’t be able to produce a similar line and make good on his salary.