Philadelphia Phillies’ slugger Domonic Brown finally arrived last season for the Phillies when he posted a .272/.324/.494 line while clubbing 27 homers and driving in 83 runs.
Despite the power surge for the 26-year old, I have always thought of him as a prime candidate for a regression this season.
If you take away Brown’s month of May last season in which he hit .303 with a .991 OPS with 12 homers and 25 RBI, Brown was nothing more than a mere average outfielder the other five months of the season.
From May on, Brown never hit more than six homers in a month (June) and hit a total of six homers the final three months of the season, going the final 31 games of the season without hitting a ball out of the yard.
Despite that, Brown still finds himself with an ADP of 110, which is way too high for my liking.
While I don’t pay too much attention to spring numbers, Brown’s Grapefruit League performance has done nothing to convince me otherwise.
Brown is hitting a mere .196 without a homer and only five RBI in 51 at bats with an OPS of a paltry .591.
Before his breakout year last season, Brown hit .356 in Florida and clubbed seven homers.
Even more concerning is the fact that Brown has struck out 15 times in 51 at bats as opposed to 16 Ks in 90 ABs last year.
Spring numbers aren’t the tell all about a hitter but Brown’s downward trend began last season and this spring is just adding onto what should be a concern.
If you made the mistake and drafted Brown early on, look to move him. If you haven’t drafted yet, I recommend staying away from Brown at his current value. If you don’t, he’s a guy that will make you regret it.