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Daily Fantasy Baseball: Top Plays for Tuesday, April 1st

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Adrian Gonzalez

Mandatory Credit: Lance Iversen-USA TODAY Sports

Starting Nine:

Daily Fantasy Baseball is certainly no can of corn!  Don’t worry though, we’ve got all your bases covered.  Each day, we put the ‘ducks on the pond’ for you by presenting you with “The Natural” plays at each position, as well as a few “Savoy Specials” for good measure.  Los Angeles Dodgers’ SS Hanley Ramirez steps up to the plate as Tuesday’s top daily play.

Let’s play ball!!

Pitcher: Zack Greinke, LAD ($9,200): Greinke is the top-priced pitcher on the board, and rightfully so.  Not only is Greinke heavily favored to receive the W, but he’s also the only one that could even be argued as having “ace” status.

Last year, Greinke had a respectable K-rate of 7.5 while posting a 2.63 ERA and a WHIP of just 1.11.  To be fair, Greinke does come with some risk, as his ERA was over a full point higher on the road.  In addition, most of his other stats were not as good either, especially his K/BB, which fell from 5.25 at home to just 2.13 when away.

If you find that risk too much to stomach at that price, consider Matt Cain, SFG ($8,100).  Cain is also (albeit slightly) favored for the win and pitched noticeably better on the road last year than at home.

Savoy Special: Kyle Lohse, MIL ($5,200): Lohse is favored for the victory and is the second-rated SP behind Matt Cain, according to Bill James “Game Score” formula.

Catcher: Jonathan Lucroy, MIL ($3,400): I expect that Lucroy will occupy the five hole once again behind Braun and Ramirez, who will hit third and fourth respectively.  Not only will he batting behind two guys that have had considerable success vs. LHP, but he himself has also owned LHP.  Over the past three seasons, Lucroy has a wOBA of .405, a .948 OPS, and just a 13.3% K-rate.

Savoy Special: John Jaso, OAK ($2,700): Jaso is almost a “must play” for me vs. RHP at this price.  He has a .377 OBP, in addition to an excellent .358 wOBA vs. RHP across the last three seasons.

First Base: Adrian Gonzalez, LAD ($3,800): Though Edwin Encarnacion and Prince Fielder are both excellent plays tonight, I like Gonzalez.  Not only does Gonzalez occupy a prime spot within one of the more potent lineups in the game, but he offers similar upside for quite a bit less.

Last year, Gonzalez batted .303 vs. RHP with 18 HRs and a .356 wOBA.  Last year’s wOBA vs. RHP is actually below his three-year average of .377.  Add in a K-rate of just 15.1%, and an OPS of .887 vs. RHP over the same time frame, and it’s easy to see why Gonzalez is my top play at 1B for the price.

Savoy Special: Adam Lind, TOR ($3,100): Part of a potent lineup and has a .359 wOBA vs. RHP, to go along with an extremely low K-rate of just 9.1% over the past three seasons.

Second Base: Jose Altuve, HOU ($3,700): In his short career, Altuve has carried a .321 BA vs. LHP overall, and a beautiful .351 BA vs. LHP at home.  Also of note are his career .353 wOBA and .361 OBP vs. left-handed pitchers.

Savoy Special: Rickie Weeks, MIL ($2,900): High K-rate vs. LHP, but still possesses a .389 OBP against them.

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