Jesse Chavez threw seven shutout innings yesterday in hitter-friendly Arlington, allowing just one single to the struggling Prince Fielder. The Athletics routed the Rangers 12-1 and Chavez recorded his second win of the season.
The A’s are 6-0 in games Chavez has started, yet he has just two wins under his belt to show for it, ranking 35th in standard Yahoo! leagues. With a couple more wins he’d be even higher, moving him into company of other highly added waiver guys like Tim Hudson (13th) and Jason Hammel (20th).
After mowing down the Rangers, Chavez now carries a 1.89 ERA, 0.95 WHIP, and a 41/8 strikeout-to-walk ratio over 38 innings.
So who is this guy and is he for real?
Jesse Chavez has served in middle relief for the majority of his career, but is now a regular starter for the first time. The depleted A’s are probably thanking the heavens for his tremendous start, but those heavens could turn to dark clouds soon…
With a juicy 9.7 K/9 this year, Chavez is right around his typical ratio (9.6 the last three years), so his strikeouts are not a fluke. Those are real. He has a history of a bloated ERA and WHIP, however, with a career ERA of 5.49 if you disregard this year.
Being that he’s never been a regular starter in the past, Chavez will likely come back down to earth. One, there has to be some type of regression to the mean. Two, can he remain durable? He’s never thrown more than 67 innings in a season.
I dropped him in one league in favor of Trevor Bauer potentially getting the call (available in 82% of Yahoo! leagues), but in another league I’m holding. Chavez faces the lowly Mariners at home next week, which I like, but gets the Nationals after that, which is a sell in my opinion.
Right now could be a good time to sell high, otherwise ride him ‘til the wheels fall off.