May 4, 2014; Philadelphia, PA, USA; Philadelphia Phillies right fielder Marlon Byrd (3) congratulates team mates at the conclusion of the game against the Washington Nationals at Citizens Bank Park. The Phillies defeated the Nationals 1-0. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

Fantasy Baseball: Phillies’ Marlon Byrd is prime sell-high candidate


Not too many people where that high on Philadelphia Phillies outfielder Marlon Byrd when fantasy baseball drafts rolled around as Byrd went of the bard fairly late in most drafts.

Apr 6, 2014; Chicago, IL, USA; Philadelphia Phillies right fielder Marlon Byrd (3) during the fourth inning at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: Mike DiNovo-USA TODAY Sports

But those who did take a gamble on the veteran has been rewarded with a nice start as Byrd is hitting .303 with four homers and 22 RBI to start the season.

Can Byrd turn in a career year for the second consecutive season?

I wouldn’t bet on it and would look to move Byrd now while his value is pretty high.

There’s some to like about Byrd’s start and he even hit in the cleanup spot, ahead of Ryan Howard, for the second straight game on Monday night.

But needless to say Byrd has plenty of downfalls as well.

For one, he doesn’t score many runs because the bottom half of the Phillies lineup is so poor.

Then you look a little deeper and that is where I would start to worry if I owned Byrd.

Age could become a factor sometime this season, but it is his awful plate discipline which scares me the most.

Byrd’s contact rate is at a career low 72 percent while his chase rate is a career high 43 percent.

He’s also striking out at a significantly higher rate than any other year in his career.

All of this suggests that a regression is coming soon.

You likely won’t find a huge market for Byrd, but you can likely find a team or two in your league that needs outfield depth.

The smart move would be to move him now and sure up other areas of your team as you don’t want to get stuck with Byrd once he starts going bad.

 

Tags: Fantasy Baseball Marlon Byrd Philadelphia Phillies