Eric Hosmer and Chris Davis should be bought low

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Chicago White Sox first baseman Jose Abreu (79) at bat during the game Mandatory Credit: Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Sell high candidates:

Justin Morneau, Rockies: Morneau has put up nice numbers this year, but most of them were put up in April.  He only has one home run and three RBI since May 18th, and his average has plummeted from .327 to .282 in that span.  I expect him to put up the average of what he has done since the injuries hit.   Which would put him between 15 and 20 homers and 75 or so RBI.  With an average in the high .260’s or low .270’s.  Your window to sell is closing though due to his recent slump.  If you can’t get decent value out of him, he might be worth hanging on to because his average likely won’t get much worse.   But keep in mind that if the Rockies fall out of contention that Ryan Wheeler could take at bats away from him.  The Rockies see him as the future at first base.

Jose Abreu, White Sox: Now, if you are in anything but a redraft league, ignore this one.  In redraft leagues though, there is some reason to be skeptical about Abreu.  He has clobbered 18 home run in just 200 at bats.  He likely will not be able to keep up this pace.  He is a lock for the AL rookie of the year award and 100 RBI, so only move him if you get someone really good in return.  All I am saying is that his power is likely to slow down as the season wears on.  He is on pace for 45 home runs right now, but I think I will take the under on 40 simply because he missed three weeks.  The MLB season is longer and more grueling than any other baseball league on the planet.  He will likely experience some fatigue down the stretch.  How much is the guessing game.

Victor Martinez, Tigers: VMart is on some kind of tear right now.  He is hitting .336 with seven homers over the last month.  His average is sitting at .332 on the season with 15 home runs and 40 RBI.  So why am I skeptical?  He has never topped 25 home runs in his career.  He has not topped 20 since 2010.  The fact that he is a full-time DH has done wonders for his health, but I just don’t see him setting a career high in home runs at the age of 35.  The average may very well stay there, and he is no stranger to 100-RBI seasons – he has four of them – but I have a hard time believing he has a career year at this age.  I would expect some sort of regression, especially in the power department, so it might be wise to move him before he starts cooling off.

Come back tomorrow for number 4, the second basemen!

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