When looking at the running back position in terms of fantasy production, there are a few risks among the consensus Top 15 running backs, but no one presents a bigger risk than Tampa Bay Buccaneers RB Doug Martin.
There’s a lot to like about Martin as always.
Even though the Buccaneers plan to use multiple running backs this season, Martin is still the primary option according to coach Lovie Smith, reports the Tampa Bay Times.
Smith also dismissed the talk of Martin having a smaller workload in the past, which is the good news.
However considering the fact that Martin rushed for 79.2 percent of the Bucs’ team total in 2012 and 82.5 percent of the team’s total rushing yards in five games in 2013 before his shoulder injury, I wouldn’t expect anything similar in 2014.
In nine seasons in Chicago as the Bears coach, Smith’s leading rusher accounted for 60.4 percent of his team’s total rushing yards in Chicago, which is likely more along the lines of what Smith wants to see.
Throw in the fact that Martin is coming off of an injury into a now loaded backfield under a new regime in Tampa Bay and I think he could disappoint owners who draft him over a top tier player at another position.
He was struggling last season before the injury and Mike James ran the ball well. Plus the Bucs went out and drafted Charles Sims as well. With new offensive coordinator Jeff Tedford planning on using a multiple backs, I would be very cautious about spending a high draft pick on Martin.
Without a doubt Martin will be drafted very high as a RB1 option, but at the end of the day he likely will produce more like a solid RB2 option instead.
At the end of the day Martin should probably be considered a Top 20 back and not a guy in the Top 10-12 range.
He should be drafted accordingly.