Coming into every season there are guys I look at who are poised for a decline and needless to say Washington Nationals outfielder Jayson Werth is one guy I recommended staying away from on draft day this year.
If you were unfortunate enough to land Werth, I would recommend trying to move him now and hope that you can get draft day value for him as the signs point to his disappointing 2014 campaign continuing.
Werth has only six homers this season and his .280/.368/.398 line represents a .171 point drop in the .931 OPS a season ago.
The sad part is that I don’t anticipate a dramatic rise in his paltry .398 SLG over the course of the second half of the season.
Werth’s biggest issue to this point of the season has been his inability to make the same solid contact he had in 2013 as his line drive rate is down from 26 percent last year all the way to 19.6 percent this season.
His paltry line drive rate lines up more to what we have seen in the past then what he posted last season which was something I was afraid could happen. Werth was usually able to overcome that by hitting homers and stealing bases. But in addition to only having the six homers, Werth has swiped only five bases on the season meaning that his value is at an all-time low.
Last season Werth’s HR/FB rate sat at 18 percent. This season he sits at 6.5 percent.
At the end of the day Werth is a 35-year old that appears to be slowing down with age.
The longer you wait, his value will sink even more.
I recommend trying to get rid of him as soon as possible.