Fantasy CPR » Fantasy Football Sleepers

Fantasy Football Sleepers-Last Minute Waiver Wire Pickups Week 15

Zachary Thompson — Sat, 15 Dec 2012 15:00:14 +0000

Trusting the fate of your fantasy football season to Brandon Weeden (3) may not seem like a great idea, but if you’re scouring the waiver wire for a quarterback Weeden’s Washington matchup makes him a solid option. Check out the rest of my fantasy football sleepers below. Photo by David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

If you’re in the most important game of your season, it’s not a time to take too much risk if you can avoid it. However, if you’re reading this post you might find yourself in the unenviable position of having to get help from the waiver wire as things wrap up in this year’s fantasy football season. The good news for last-minute fantasy shoppers is there are some decent options still around since many owners have checked out for the year.

Here’s my top three sleepers at each position who are unowned in at least 50% of ESPN leagues and have a shot to put up a good week due to matchup and opportunity. All scoring is ESPN Standard for the sake of uniformity.

Top 3 Fantasy Football Sleepers at Quarterback

1. Brandon Weeden-Cleveland Browns: (8.7% owned in ESPN leagues) Weeden has a great matchup this weekend as Washington comes to town. As good as RG3 makes this team, their secondary still has major issues and they’ve allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks including seven touchdowns in the last three weeks including three to Joe Flacco last week. Weeden should be in for a nice day ans he and fellow-rookie RG3 (or Kirk Cousins) battle it out in what could rapidly become a shootout like many of Washington’s games have been.

2. Russell Wilson-Seattle Seahawks: (24.8%) The Seahawks fly east to take on the Bills this Sunday. Buffalo has allowed the eighth most fantasy points to opposing QBs. Wilson is coming off a down week as the Seahwaks blew the Cardinals away early and he didn’t need to throw much. Before his eight points he had 15 or more in five consecutive games. He should return to that level again this week in Buffalo making him a solid QB2 and a low-end option to start in one quarterback leagues if you’re desparate.

3. Sam Bradford-St. Louis Rams: (38.4%) Bradford is maddeningly consistent scoring 10-15 fantasy points just about every week. He’s had three games all season where he’s been above that range and two games below. The Vikings defense is seventh-worst at allowing passing fantasy points to opposing QBs so Bradford could be above his average this week. He’s a QB2 option, but little more as the Rams play the Vikings in a matchup that has playoff implications.

Top 3 Fantasy Football Sleepers at Running Back

Nov 29, 2012; Atlanta, GA, USA; Atlanta Falcons running back Jacquizz Rodgers (32) holds off New Orleans Saints outside linebacker Jonathan Casillas (52) during the second half at the Georgia Dome. The Falcons defeated the Saints 23-13. Mandatory Credit: Josh D. Weiss-USA TODAY Sports

1. Jacquizz Rodgers-Atlanta Falcons: (26.7%) Rodgers has seemed on the verge of a breakout all year, and this is finally the week I think he gets it. The Falcons will need all the firepower they can gather against the in-coming New York Giants as they look to avenge their playoff loss from last year. He’s a high-risk play, but the reward could be huge. I’d feel comfortable with him in a flex spot or as an RB3. He’s shown playmaking ability but hasn’t gotten the touches to convert his upside into fantasy production yet.

2. Montell Owens-Jacksonville Jaguars: (10.4%) Owens looked good leading the Jags backfield last week rushing for 91 yards and a score on just 14 carries. He was rushing against the Jets though and will find the going much tougher against the Dolphins this week. He still could have a good game and will get more guaranteed touches than Rodgers or Bell. He has a lower ceiling but is a safer pickup than any of the other backs on this list.

3. Joique Bell-Detroit Lions: (27.5%) Bell has started to play a larger role in the Lions gameplan as he shares time with Mikel Leshoure. He’s more of the receiving/third-down back but could see more time this week against the lowly Cardinals as the Lions head to Arizona. He’s scored 28 points the last three weeks and has an expanding role in a dynamic offense going against a struggling defense.

Top 3 Fantasy Football Sleepers at Wide Receiver

December 9, 2012; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; San Diego Chargers wide receiver Danario Alexander (84) reacts on the sidelines against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the fourth quarter at Heinz Field. The San Diego Chargers won 34-24. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

1. Danario Alexander-San Diego Chargers: (48.1%) Alexander is barely under the threshold and barely a sleeper after averaging 15.4 points per game in his last five games with the Chargers. He’s emerged as their number one receiver after joining them mid-season. This week he and San Diego host the Panthers that was torched last couple week by Atlanta wide receivers. Alexander is the top available option in most leagues at wide-out.

2. Josh Gordon-Cleveland Browns: (44.4%) Gordon is also closer to 50% than I like to get my sleepers from but he’s become the top receiver in Cleveland with 14 catches, a touchdown, and 202 yards in the past two weeks. Only Tampa Bay has allowed more points to opposing wide receivers than the Redskins have, so keep an eye on Gordon as the RG3 show rolls into Cleveland. If Alexander is gone, he’s option 1a.

3. Rod Streater-Oakland Raiders: (1.3%) Streater showed off his talent this preseason but had a quiet first part of the season. The last few weeks he’s stepped it up with 96 and 100 yards the last two weeks. Carson Palmer has started looking his way as he received a team-leading seven targets last week. This week the Raiders are matched with their division-rival Chiefs so if Streater can convert his targets he should be in for another big week. He’s a hail mary play, but if you need to grab a receiver in a deep league and drop him right into your lineup, Streater the best option who is so readily available.

Top 3 Fantasy Football Sleepers at Tight End

1. Dallas Clark-Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Clark had five catches for 51 yards and a touchdown the last time the Bucs played the Saints. He could be in for another solid game against the New Orleans secondary in what could quickly become a shootout in the Superdome. While he’s not an elite option, he’s a solid play based on his matchup and his three touchdowns in the last five weeks.

2. Dennis Pitta-Baltimore Ravens: (29.6%) Pitta caught five passes but only finished with 46 yards and a touchdown last week against Washington. As the Ravens head to Denver this week, he’ll face the team that’s allowed the second-most points to opposing tight ends this season. I’d be higher on him if it wasn’t for the question-marks surrounding the new offensive-coordinator and the uncertainty over how he’ll utilize the tight ends.

3. Tony Scheffler-Detroit Lions: (1.0%) The deepest of our tight end sleepers may pay off if Brandon Pettigrew is unable to play this week against Arizona. Scheffler has 11 catches over the past three weeks for 132 yards and a score. He only can be relied on as a starter if Pettigrew is inactive as expected after missing practice all week.

Top 3 Fantasy Football Sleepers at Team Defense

Nov 25, 2012; Jacksonville FL, USA; Tennessee Titans linebacker Zach Brown (55) sacks Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Chad Henne (7) in the first quarter of their game at EverBank Field. Mandatory Credit: Phil Sears-USA TODAY Sports

1. Tennessee Titans: (3.0%) The Titans scored 16 points in Indy last week and return home for a great defensive matchup against Mark Sanchez and the turnover-prone Jets. The Titans are a reach most weeks, but they’re a sneaky-good play on Monday Night Football at home this week.

2. San Diego Chargers: (33.0%) The Chargers have scored 12 of more points in three of their last four games and face a Panthers defense that has been turnover-prone at times this year. Carolina has looked better as of late but have allowed defenses to dominate them in the past (week 10 they allowed 28 points to Denver). The Chargers are a decent option this week if you’ve been playing matchups all year.

3. Miami Dolphins: (33.1%) The ‘Phins host Jacksonville who are fifth in most points allowed to opposing defenses. They’ve given up nine or more in each of the last three weeks. Miami can pressure the QB which should lead to sacks and turnovers in the battle for Florida.

Fantasy Football Sleepers to Pickup on the Waiver Wire for NFL Week 14

Zachary Thompson — Sat, 08 Dec 2012 15:09:53 +0000

Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks look to avenge their week one loss to the Arizona Cardinals. The matchup makes Wilson an option of the waiver wire since he’s been so solid at home. Photo by Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

It’s crunch time! Most leagues are into their playoffs as we get ready for kickoff in Week 14. Because of the raised intensity of the weekend, our sleepers come to you a day earlier than usual so you can get your final lineup locked in before Sunday morning hits. To check out our previous posts to see how our picks have done: click here for last week, or click here for week 12.

All the players below are unowned in at least half of ESPN leagues, but have the potential to contribute to your team’s win this weekend. Check out who’s available in your league if you have a need at one of these positions since getting a player in the right matchup can make all the difference between extending your season another week or going home early. (All scoring references use ESPN Standard Scoring for continuity’s sake)

Quarterbacks

1. Russell Wilson-Seattle Seahawks: (21.3% owned in ESPN leagues) Wilson faces the Cardinals in Seattle and has thrived in his home games so far this year. He’s had 15 or more fantasy points in each of his last five games and offers the bonus points from being able to move the ball on the ground. The only concern with Wilson is that the Cardinals offense has been so bad it doesn’t take much to secure the win (see last week’s 7-6 stinker against the Jets). Wilson may not be asked to do too much, but he’s been executing at a high level making him a solid QB2 or emergency QB1 this week.

2. Jake Locker-Tennessee Titans: (7.4%) If you’re on the waiver wire looking for a home run, Locker is a high-risk pickup but could be a high reward payout. He and the Titans travel to Indianapolis to face the Colts on Sunday. Locker didn’t play the first time these teams met but was able to throw for 300+ yards last week against the Texans. He could likely hit that number again as the Colts passing defense has allowed at least 300 for three of the last four weeks. Indy hasn’t held any QB they’ve faced under 10 fantasy points, and I expect a big day from Locker in the new offense installed by Dowell Loggains. Locker has a higher upside than Russell Wilson for this week, but Wilson is the safer pick. Choose between the two based on what you need for this week.

3. Brandon Weeden-Cleveland Browns: Weeden and the Browns face their former signal-caller as Brady Quinn leads the Chiefs into Cleveland. Only the Saints and Eagles have allowed more fantasy points to opposing QBs than the Chiefs and Weeden has had three 300+ yard passing games and five weeks of 15 or more fantasy points. He’s a solid QB2 based on his matchup for week 14.

Dec 2, 2012; Baltimore, MD, USA; Pittsburgh Steelers running back Jonathan Dwyer (27) celebrates his touchdown run with tackle Max Starks (78) against the Baltimore Ravens at M

Running Backs

1. Jonathan Dwyer-Pittsburgh Steelers: (43.0%) Dwyer has emerged at least as the primary back in Pittsburgh, although he isn’t on the field for every down. He scored his first rushing touchdown of the year last week in Baltimore as the Steelers found a way to win. With Big Ben returning and the Steelers at home against the Chargers, I’d expect an even better week from Dwyer. San Diego has allowed over 120 yards rushing the last three weeks although they have kept opposing backs out of the endzone. Dwyer is a good pickup for the rest of the year and is in line for a solid week this week.

2. Bilal Powell-New York Jets: (2.7%) While the Jets offense has been a mess, Powell has amassed double-digit caries in each of his last three games and found the endzone three times. He’s getting the goalline chances for New York, so if Mark Sanchez (or whoever replaces him) can move the offense this week in Jacksonville, Powell could be in line for a decent game. The Jags have allowed the fourth most fantasy points to opposing backs and were gashed for 186 yards and a touchdown last week by the Bills.

3. Alex Green-Green Bay Packers: (30.0%) Green isn’t a secret, but he is in line for most of the carries as the Packers host the Lions. Detroit’s run defense isn’t extra-special, but the Packers should be able to move the ball through the air which may limit Green’s value. He is the Packer back to own, but don’t expect too much from him this week. He’ll probably get about 12-15 carries for 50-65 yards which isn’t bad if he can make his way to the endzone for the first time this season.

Wide Receiver

December 2, 2012; Oakland, CA, USA; Cleveland Browns wide receiver Josh Gordon (13) catches a pass and runs for a touchdown against Oakland Raiders cornerback Ron Bartell (21) during the second quarter at O.co Coliseum. Mandatory Credit: Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

1. Josh Gordon-Cleveland Browns: (35.8%) Gordon had 116 yards and a touchdown last week in Oakland and has 15 catches in three games since the Browns bye-week. Gordon is definitely Brandon Weeden’s favorite receiver and should be ready to post another big game this week against the visiting Chiefs.

2. Donnie Avery-Indianapolis Colts: (14.6%) With all the buzz over T.Y. Hiton, it was Avery who led the Colts in targets in Andrew Luck’s fourth-quarter comeback against the Lions. Avery hauled in five passes for a total of 91 yards and a pair of scores including the game-winner. Avery is a downfield threat but can also be used over the middle. He usually is a much bigger part of the passing game than Hilton. Hilton definitely has talent and can make a big splash when he does get his hands on the ball like he did while Avery was injured, but I’d rather have a healthy Avery than Hilton this week as the Colts face the Titans who allow the 14th most points to opposing wide receivers per game.

3. Kendall Wright-Tennessee Titans: (14.2%) On the other side of the field from Avery, Kendall Wright has emerged as the most-targeted Titans receiver. The Colts allow the third-most points to opposing wide receivers and Wright should be able to star in the shootout that I expect to emerge in Lucas Oil Stadium this Sunday.

Tight End

1. Dennis Pitta-Baltimore Ravens: (29.6%) No team in the league has given up more points to opposing tight ends than the Redskins. Pitta had a tough matchup last week against the Steelers and had a predictably low-scoring week, but don’t let that deter you from grabbing him if you need a TE as the Ravens travel to the nation’s Capital for Sunday’s game.

2. Marcedes Lewis-Jacksonville Jaguars: (19.6%) Lewis and the Jags face the Jets this Sunday. Lewis has been steadily increasing his yardage each week since Chad Henne has been under center. He could have another nice week this week as the Jags look to take advantage of Rex Ryan’s reeling Jets.

3. Benjamin Watson-Cleveland Browns: (4.4%) Watson was targeted nine times and finished with six catches last week against the Raiders. The Browns should be able to move the ball and find the end zone against the Chiefs, but Watson’s role is in flux form week-to-week so he’s still a risky play.

Dec 2, 2012; San Diego, CA, USA; Cincinnati Bengals free safety Reggie Nelson (right, 20) intercepts a pass intended for San Diego Chargers wide receiver Malcom Floyd (80) as he is defended by Bengals cornerback Terence Newman (23) during the fourth quarter to seal the 20-13 victory for the Bengals at Qualcomm Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

Team Defenses

1. Cincinnati Bengals D/ST: The Bengals have scored 12 or more in each of the past four weeks against the Giants, Chiefs, Raiders, and Chargers. This week they host the Cowboys who can put up points but can also be turnover-prone. Depending on how stiffly your league penalizes points and yards allowed, they may be worth a gamble since big plays will most likely be on the table with Tony Romo under center for Dallas.

2. Cleveland Browns: (28.3%) Continuing with a Cleveland-heavy week of sleepers, the Browns defense scored 20 fantasy points just two weeks ago against the Steelers but put up a disappointing one-point week last week in Oakland. They’ll return home for the Chiefs who give up the second-most points to opposing D’s. The reason they aren’t #1 on this list is their performance last week and the fact that the Chiefs didn’t allow any points last week to the Panthers D in their best performance of the season.

3. Buffalo Bills: (27.9%) The much-hyped Bills defense started woefully slow but has been playing well as of late with 36 points over the last three games. They’ll face the Rams in Buffalo this Sunday in a game that could be rainy and cold which could help their cause against Sam Bradford and company.