The New York Giants and Atlanta Falcons meet today in a rematch of last year’s NFC Wildcard Playoff game.T hat’s one of the more difficult picks on the board in a tough week of NFL Picks against the Spread. Find all my picks for week 15 below. Photo by Kirby Lee/Image of Sport-USA TODAY Sports

NFL Week 15 has some pivotal playoff-type games to be sure, but there’s also som very underwhelming games between teams that have struggled. There’s some very evenly matched games both at the top and the bottom of the heirarchy of NFL teams which leads to no apparent mismatches and the biggest spread coming into the week is just 7.5. Last week, I was stuck in the middle with an even 8-8 record but hopefully I can get things moving in the right direction with these picks this week.

As always, I’m using the spread from ESPN’s Pigskin Pick’Em which doesn’t always account for last minute moves in the line. It also only uses half-point spreads to avoid pushes. The home team is identified in all caps.

New York Giants (+1.5)over ATLANTA FALCONS

The Giants and Falcons face-off as Atlanta looks to avenge its first-round playoff defeat last season. The Giants have been inconsistent, but get up for big road games like this. The G-men have gone on the road and beaten San Francisco and Dallas but have lost at Washington and Cincinnati. They looked good in their wins over Green Bay and New Orleans in the last three weeks. Atlanta has been doing their own up-and-down routine lately edging Arizona and Tampa Bay and losing to the Panthers last week, but also dominating the Saints on Thursday Night two weeks ago. Both teams can be maddeningly inconsistent, but the Giants win big games like this with regularity so I’ll take them over the Falcons even in Atlanta.

Green Bay Packers (-2.5) over CHICAGO BEARS

The Packers dispatched the Bears relatively easily at Lambeau Field earlier this season 23-10 and will look to lockdown the division while getting their eighth win in their last nine games. Green Bay hasn’t lost to a divisional foe this season. The Bears have been stumbling down the stretch losing four of their last five and falling to division-foe Minnesota last week. Chicago definitely needs the game more, but the Packers have won their last five in a row at Soldier Field and I think they’ll make is six today.

Washington Redskins (+1.5) over CLEVELAND BROWNS

December 9, 2012; Landover, MD, USA; Washington Redskins quarterback Kirk Cousins (12) spikes the ball after scoring on a game-tying two point conversion in the closing seconds of the fourth quarter against the Baltimore Ravens at FedEx Field. The Redskins won 31-28 in overtime. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The latest reports have Kirk Cousins ready to start for the ‘Skins while Robert Griffin III rests his leg. While that’s devastating news for RG3′s fantasy owners, the Redskins should be able to step up in his absence and get past the Browns. Cleveland has been playing better lately winning their last three and being within a score in every game since week 5. Washington has won their last four too, vaulting them into the NFC playoff picture. This is a tough pick since Cousins is such an unknown in his first NFL start.

ST. LOUIS RAMS (+2.5) over Minnesota Vikings

I’m surprised at the line in this one as the Rams host the Vikings in the Edwards Jones Dome. The Vikings did get a nice win last week but have dropped five of their last eight and are just 1-5 away from home this year. The Rams have been flying under the radar, but outside of a slipup against the Jets have played exceptional football since their bye-week. They’ve won their last three games against the Cardinals, 49ers, and Bills.  Overall they are 4-2 at home (not counting the London game) including wins over Washington, Seattle, and San Francisco. I’m not sure I get why the Rams are home ‘dogs in this one except that Adrian Peterson is just that good. Peterson has been dominating teams, but the Rams defense held the Bills to just 61 yards on the ground last week. While they won’t be able to shut down ADP completely, they should be able to limit him enough and force Christian Ponder into making mistakes.

MIAMI DOLPHINS (-7.5)  over Jacksonville Jaguars

The Dolphins and Jaguars are both not playing well at all. Miami has lost five of their last six while the Jags have dropped nine of ten. Jacksonville is just 2-11 and has lost seven of those games by more than eight points. Miami did get a home win against the Seahawks three weeks ago so maybe they can use that template to get a win this week. Ryan Tannehill has shown some positive progress throughout the season. I’d give him the edge over ex-Dolphin Chad Henne and I’d definitely give the Miami defense the edge over Jacksonville’s so I’ll take the Dolphins although I hate to give the points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5) over NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

Both defenses give up points and both offenses can score so expect a track meet in the Superdome as these NFC South divisional-foes face off for the second time this year. When the two met the first time, it was a predictably high-scoring 35-28 win for the Saints. Both teams have dropped their last three games and the playoffs may be slipping away. The Sains defense will be without safety Malcolm Jenkins and their offense will miss starting right tackle Charles Brown. Those losses and the Bucs determination to stay in the race will make this a field goal game either way, so I’ll take the 3.5 points and the visiting Bucs.

BALTIMORE RAVNES (+2.5) over Denver Broncos

Denver is rolling but have played a fairly soft schedule to this point in the year.  Their wins in their eight game winning streak have come over teams that are all below .500except for Cincinnati. The Ravens themselves will be looking to bounce back  from losses the last two weeks to Pittsburgh by a field goal and to Washington in overtime. This week I think they’ll bounce back and improve enough on offense under their new Offensive Coordinator to get the win at home. This game goes a long way to deciding the 3-seed in the AFC with just three weeks left in the regular season.

Indianapolis Colts (+7.5) over HOUSTON TEXANS

Dec 9 2012, Indianapolis, USA; Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck (12) throws a pass against the Tennessee Titans at Lucas Oil Stadium. Indianapolis defeated Tennessee 27-23. Mandatory Credit: Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

The Texans pass defense is shreddable as the Patriots once again revealed last week. Look for plenty of points like a typical Colts game. The Colts have won seven of their last eight and are still alive in the division as they face the Texans today and again in their season finale in two weeks. Andrew Luck will be able to exploit the Teans pass defense and at least keep Indy within a touchdown. In only one of the last five games (at Tennessee) have the Texans won by more than 8 points. I like the Colts to be in this game late and easily cover the point-spread.

Seattle Seahawks (-5.5) over BUFFALO BILLS

The Bills lost last week to the Rams at home and have only beaten the Dolphins, Chiefs, and Jags at home all year. This home game will be unlike the rest as they host the Seahawks in their annual trip to Toronto. Seattle romped at home last week against the Cardinals and finally got a nice road win their last road-trip when they beat the Bears in Soldier Field. The Bills won’t have Fred Jackson for the rest of the season and have struggled stopping the run and taking care of the ball. Forcing turnovers and running the ball are Seattle’s strengths so they should be able to win by a touchdown or more.

Detroit Lions (-5.5) over ARIZONA CARDINALS

The Lions can score points ranking 12th in the league with 24.6 points a game. They’ve lost their last five and will be ready to take out their frustrations on the Cardinals. Arizona has lost nine in a row since their 4-0 start reaching new lows by lowing 58-0 last week in Seattle. Arizona needs help at lots of positions and are quickly moving up in the draft by falling down in the standings. The Lions should win big in this one.

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (-2.5) over Carolina Panthers

San Diego finally bounced back last week and played like the team many expected them to be coming into the season as they beat the Steelers in Pittsburgh 34-24. The win came out of nowhere since they had been falling apart before that game losing seven of eight with only wins against the Chiefs, Titans, and Raiders. The Panthers also have been playing much better in recent weeks and pulled off the upset of the Falcons at home last week. These teams are tough to predict, but I’ll say the cross-country trip to the West Coast makes the difference and the Chargers get another win for their lame-duck coach.

DALLAS COWBOYS (+1.5) over Pittsburgh

The Cowboys host the Steelers as both angle to get into one of the last few playoff spots. Strangely, Dallas has struggled at home but picked up a nice road win last week in Cincinnati. The Bengals loss would have helped the Steelers tremendously if they could avoided losing to the Chargers at home. Both teams are 7-6 but Dallas is 0-6 against the spread at home. The ‘Boys can’t fail to cover at some point this season and I think they’ll get the win here against the struggling Steelers. This isn’t a pick I’m confident in though as I could easily see this going either way.

OAKLAND RAIDERS (-2.5) over Kansas City Chiefs

In one of the matchups of the lower-level teams in the NFL the Chiefs head to Oakland. The Raiders have taken the last two games in this series including a 26-16 win earlier this season at Arrowhead. Two of the Raiders’ three wins have come at home but they have lost six in a row overall. The last two weeks they’ve played close with the Browns and Broncos. KC meanwhile has won just twice all season-on the road in overtime week 3 against the Saints and two weeks ago at home against Carolina. Last week Cleveland thumped them and I expect the Raiders to beat them up against this week as the teams meet at the O.co Coliseum.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-5-5) over San Francisco 49ers

The Patriots reminded us all how good they are at home in December last week against the Texans. They actually matchup better against the 49ers although the San Francisco defense does defend the deep-ball well. Brady and Belichick can gameplan their way to another big victory on Sunday Night as they take on Collin Kaepernick and the Niners in another great week 15 matchup.

TENNESSEE TITANS (-1.5) over New York Jets

Dec 2, 2012; Nashville, TN, USA; Tennessee Titans quarterback Jake Locker (10) runs with the ball against Houston Texans linebacker Connor Barwin (98) during the second half at LP Field. The Texans beat the Titans 24-10. Mandatory credit: Don McPeak-US Presswire

The Titans host the Jets in this week’s Monday Night Football matchup. It’s an underwhelming game overall, but does give ESPN a chance to cover Tim Tebow and the Sanchez-saga all over again. Thankfully, the Jets coverage has been scaled back some the last couple weeks as it became increasingly apparent that they’re just not a good football team. The Titans Jake Locker has had his own injury and effectiveness issues, but Chris Johnson has rediscovered his form which could bode well for Tennessee against the Jets 29th ranked rushing defense.

Trusting the fate of your fantasy football season to Brandon Weeden (3) may not seem like a great idea, but if you’re scouring the waiver wire for a quarterback Weeden’s Washington matchup makes him a solid option. Check out the rest of my fantasy football sleepers below. Photo by David Richard-USA TODAY Sports

If you’re in the most important game of your season, it’s not a time to take too much risk if you can avoid it. However, if you’re reading this post you might find yourself in the unenviable position of having to get help from the waiver wire as things wrap up in this year’s fantasy football season. The good news for last-minute fantasy shoppers is there are some decent options still around since many owners have checked out for the year.

Here’s my top three sleepers at each position who are unowned in at least 50% of ESPN leagues and have a shot to put up a good week due to matchup and opportunity. All scoring is ESPN Standard for the sake of uniformity.

Top 3 Fantasy Football Sleepers at Quarterback

1. Brandon Weeden-Cleveland Browns: (8.7% owned in ESPN leagues) Weeden has a great matchup this weekend as Washington comes to town. As good as RG3 makes this team, their secondary still has major issues and they’ve allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks including seven touchdowns in the last three weeks including three to Joe Flacco last week. Weeden should be in for a nice day ans he and fellow-rookie RG3 (or Kirk Cousins) battle it out in what could rapidly become a shootout like many of Washington’s games have been.

2. Russell Wilson-Seattle Seahawks: (24.8%) The Seahawks fly east to take on the Bills this Sunday. Buffalo has allowed the eighth most fantasy points to opposing QBs. Wilson is coming off a down week as the Seahwaks blew the Cardinals away early and he didn’t need to throw much. Before his eight points he had 15 or more in five consecutive games. He should return to that level again this week in Buffalo making him a solid QB2 and a low-end option to start in one quarterback leagues if you’re desparate.

3. Sam Bradford-St. Louis Rams: (38.4%) Bradford is maddeningly consistent scoring 10-15 fantasy points just about every week. He’s had three games all season where he’s been above that range and two games below. The Vikings defense is seventh-worst at allowing passing fantasy points to opposing QBs so Bradford could be above his average this week. He’s a QB2 option, but little more as the Rams play the Vikings in a matchup that has playoff implications.

Top 3 Fantasy Football Sleepers at Running Back

Nov 29, 2012; Atlanta, GA, USA; Atlanta Falcons running back Jacquizz Rodgers (32) holds off New Orleans Saints outside linebacker Jonathan Casillas (52) during the second half at the Georgia Dome. The Falcons defeated the Saints 23-13. Mandatory Credit: Josh D. Weiss-USA TODAY Sports

1. Jacquizz Rodgers-Atlanta Falcons: (26.7%) Rodgers has seemed on the verge of a breakout all year, and this is finally the week I think he gets it. The Falcons will need all the firepower they can gather against the in-coming New York Giants as they look to avenge their playoff loss from last year. He’s a high-risk play, but the reward could be huge. I’d feel comfortable with him in a flex spot or as an RB3. He’s shown playmaking ability but hasn’t gotten the touches to convert his upside into fantasy production yet.

2. Montell Owens-Jacksonville Jaguars: (10.4%) Owens looked good leading the Jags backfield last week rushing for 91 yards and a score on just 14 carries. He was rushing against the Jets though and will find the going much tougher against the Dolphins this week. He still could have a good game and will get more guaranteed touches than Rodgers or Bell. He has a lower ceiling but is a safer pickup than any of the other backs on this list.

3. Joique Bell-Detroit Lions: (27.5%) Bell has started to play a larger role in the Lions gameplan as he shares time with Mikel Leshoure. He’s more of the receiving/third-down back but could see more time this week against the lowly Cardinals as the Lions head to Arizona. He’s scored 28 points the last three weeks and has an expanding role in a dynamic offense going against a struggling defense.

Top 3 Fantasy Football Sleepers at Wide Receiver

December 9, 2012; Pittsburgh, PA, USA; San Diego Chargers wide receiver Danario Alexander (84) reacts on the sidelines against the Pittsburgh Steelers during the fourth quarter at Heinz Field. The San Diego Chargers won 34-24. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

1. Danario Alexander-San Diego Chargers: (48.1%) Alexander is barely under the threshold and barely a sleeper after averaging 15.4 points per game in his last five games with the Chargers. He’s emerged as their number one receiver after joining them mid-season. This week he and San Diego host the Panthers that was torched last couple week by Atlanta wide receivers. Alexander is the top available option in most leagues at wide-out.

2. Josh Gordon-Cleveland Browns: (44.4%) Gordon is also closer to 50% than I like to get my sleepers from but he’s become the top receiver in Cleveland with 14 catches, a touchdown, and 202 yards in the past two weeks. Only Tampa Bay has allowed more points to opposing wide receivers than the Redskins have, so keep an eye on Gordon as the RG3 show rolls into Cleveland. If Alexander is gone, he’s option 1a.

3. Rod Streater-Oakland Raiders: (1.3%) Streater showed off his talent this preseason but had a quiet first part of the season. The last few weeks he’s stepped it up with 96 and 100 yards the last two weeks. Carson Palmer has started looking his way  as he received a team-leading seven targets last week. This week the Raiders are matched with their division-rival Chiefs so if Streater can convert his targets he should be in for another big week. He’s a hail mary play, but if you need to grab a receiver in a deep league and drop him right into your lineup, Streater the best option who is so readily available.

Top 3 Fantasy Football Sleepers at Tight End

1. Dallas Clark-Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Clark had five catches for 51 yards and a touchdown the last time the Bucs played the Saints. He could be in for another solid game against the New Orleans secondary in what could quickly become a shootout in the Superdome. While he’s not an elite option, he’s a solid play based on his matchup and his three touchdowns in the last five weeks.

2. Dennis Pitta-Baltimore Ravens: (29.6%) Pitta caught five passes but only finished with 46 yards and a touchdown last week against Washington. As the Ravens head to Denver this week, he’ll face the team that’s allowed the second-most points to opposing tight ends this season. I’d be higher on him if it wasn’t for the question-marks surrounding the new offensive-coordinator and the uncertainty over how he’ll utilize the tight ends.

3. Tony Scheffler-Detroit Lions: (1.0%) The deepest of our tight end sleepers may pay off if Brandon Pettigrew is unable to play this week against Arizona. Scheffler has 11 catches over the past three weeks for 132 yards and a score. He only can be relied on as a starter if Pettigrew is inactive as expected after missing practice all week.

Top 3 Fantasy Football Sleepers at Team Defense

Nov 25, 2012; Jacksonville FL, USA; Tennessee Titans linebacker Zach Brown (55) sacks Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Chad Henne (7) in the first quarter of their game at EverBank Field. Mandatory Credit: Phil Sears-USA TODAY Sports

1. Tennessee Titans: (3.0%) The Titans scored 16 points in Indy last week and return home for a great defensive matchup against Mark Sanchez and the turnover-prone Jets. The Titans are a reach most weeks, but they’re a sneaky-good play on Monday Night Football at home this week.

2. San Diego Chargers: (33.0%) The Chargers have scored 12 of more points in three of their last four games and face a Panthers defense that has been turnover-prone at times this year. Carolina has looked better as of late but have allowed defenses to dominate them in the past (week 10 they allowed 28 points to Denver). The Chargers are a decent option this week if you’ve been playing matchups all year.

3. Miami Dolphins: (33.1%) The ‘Phins host Jacksonville who are fifth in most points allowed to opposing defenses. They’ve given up nine or more in each of the last three weeks. Miami can pressure the QB which should lead to sacks and turnovers in the battle for Florida.