Contrarian DFS plays for Sunday of the NFL Divisional Round

Baker Mayfield is the cheapest QB on the slate as he takes on one of the worst pass defenses in football.
Baker Mayfield is the cheapest QB on the slate as he takes on one of the worst pass defenses in football. / Mike Ehrmann/GettyImages

The Divisional Round of the NFL Playoffs concludes with another doubleheader, beginning in Detroit and ending in a familiar matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills.

Below are a few contrary players in each position who could challenge the popular “chalk” choices and give your lineup some sneaky leverage.


Chalk: Josh Allen

Contrary: Baker Mayfield

Baker Mayfield is the cheapest quarterback option on the slate.  Mayfield proved many doubters wrong last week as he scored over 30 DraftKings Points en route to dismantling the Eagles.  Now, he faces the 30th-ranked defense against quarterbacks in fantasy. 

Mayfield can be in store for a big game regardless of the game script, as his matchup is excellent, and the Lions are known for their stout run defense, which may keep the ball in the air more often.  Save your salary and take Baker.  

Running Back

Chalk: Rachaad White

Contrary: James Cook

Rachaad White will be given many opportunities in this game, as he has been the workhorse running back for Tampa Bay all season. However, he faces the best run defense in football, which can significantly limit his upside.

Instead, look to draft James Cook.  Cook had a modest output on 22 touches last week, where the Bills took care of business, but I expect this game to be much closer. Also, the last time Cook played against Kansas City (Week 13), he had a massive day through the air and totaled 25 DraftKings points, which is worth noting.  

Wide Receiver

Chalk: Stefon Diggs

Contrary: Josh Reynolds

Stefon Diggs has had two bounce-back games over the past two weeks but now faces the 3rd best defense against receivers. Diggs struggled against Kansas City in Week 13, and the way Josh Allen has spread the ball around, it could be challenging for Diggs to live up to his salary.

Instead, look to roster Josh Reynolds.  Reynolds posted seven targets in consecutive weeks and had become a solid number-three option in the Lions passing attack. The early game could be a high-scoring affair, and I would not mind rostering Reynolds, as he could see several passes going his way as the Lions and Buccaneers light up the scoresheet.  

Tight End

Chalk: Travis Kelce

Contrary: Cade Otton

Cade Otton saw his highest target total on the season last week.  Will he see double-digit targets again? Probably not, but it is promising to see Baker Mayfield look his way in a must-win game.  While I do not expect Otton to repeat his performance, even if he saw half of those targets, he should be very productive against a poor Lions pass defense.