Dynasty managers need to proceed cautiously with Caleb Williams

Caleb Williams is not the slam dunk that many think he is.

Nov 18, 2023; Los Angeles, California, USA; USC Trojans quarterback Caleb Williams (13) scrambles against UCLA earlier this season.
Nov 18, 2023; Los Angeles, California, USA; USC Trojans quarterback Caleb Williams (13) scrambles against UCLA earlier this season. / Jason Parkhurst-USA TODAY Sports

Though it doesn't come as much of a surprise, USC quarterback and the 2022 Heisman Trophy winner, Caleb Williams, has officially entered the 2024 NFL Draft. It would come as a surprise to many dynasty league players out there if Williams was not the No. 1 overall pick in your rookie draft ahead of next season.

But it shouldn't.

Williams is considered by many a generational talent, but dynasty fantasy football players must be willing to go against the grain with this one. Just because the experts out there are already crowning Williams, there really isn't much reason to do so.

Though the Trojans didn't have the kind of season they were expecting to this year, Williams still posted big numbers, throwing for over 3,600 yards with 30 touchdowns and only five interceptions. That said, you would think that the team would have finished better than 7-5 with him leading the charge.

In the NFL, the landing spot is going to be key. The Chicago Bears have the No. 1 overall pick and will be weighing their options of sticking with Justin Fields and trading the No. 1 choice or trading Fields in order to grab Williams.

If Williams were to end up in Chicago, how exciting is that? Fields is literally the most fantasy-relevant quarterback the team has ever had there as there has been a lot of subpar play at the position. That may not just be a coincidence either and you would be gambling against a lot of history.

While Williams has a superb arm and the ability to make plays with his running ability, he is also prone to mistakes due to the fact that he tends to hold the ball a bit too long and be a bit over-confident in his own ability. Things are not going to come easy to him in the NFL immediately, that happens for almost no one, and he will make mistakes early in his career.

Think back to Trevor Lawrence. There was a lot of hype surrounding him coming out of college and he may have been the hands down No. 1 overall pick in your dynasty league. He hasn't been bad by any means, but he also hasn't been the quarterback that many said he would be simply because those expectations were unreachable.

The same could easily be the case with Williams. So if you have the top pick in your dynasty draft this summer, wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. should get just as much of a look in your research and if you have another manager in your league that is in love with Williams and you can get a haul in return for the pick, it should be strongly considered.