Fantasy Football: Breaking down the biggest hits and misses from Week 7

What went right and what didn't in Week 7 of fantasy football.
Los Angeles Chargers v Kansas City Chiefs
Los Angeles Chargers v Kansas City Chiefs / Jamie Squire/GettyImages
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So how did everyone do this weekend in fantasy football?

Biggest Hit of the Weekend: Not only did the Patriots beat the Bills this weekend but Bill Belichick won his 300th regular season game putting him in an elite club that has only two other members; Don Shula and George Halas.

Tyson Bagent was also a big hit this weekend. The undrafted free agent got the start over an injured Fields and was able to win against the Raiders and finish as QB20 in his first NFL start.

Biggest Misses of the Weekend: The Lions. The whole team. The Ravens crushed them 38 to 6. I was watching this game and it was so bad the network switched to another game before the third quarter was finished.

The Rams were a big miss. Losing at home to the Steelers, they couldn’t get anything going. Kenny Pickett threw for as many yards as Stafford. Stafford had one interception to none for Pickett.

Week 7 Hits in Fantasy Football (Players that scored more points than expected)

PLAYER

TEAM

POSITION

PROJECTED

ACTUAL

P. Mahomes

KC

QB

23.9

57.25

L. Jackson

BAL

QB

22.97

48.75

D. Foreman

CHI

RB

7.65

36.5

A. Kamara

NO

RB

18.17

34.0

J. Addison

MIN

WR

13.74

34.0

J. Bobo

SEA

WR

3.79

18.5

T. Kelse

KC

TE

20.26

44.5

T. Hill

NO

TE

5.00

18.5

NOTES:

  • Patrick Mahomes has his biggest day of the season and Kelse was the recipient of that big day.
  • Lamar Jackson is starting to look like he has become a passer and could end up this year as a QB1.
  • D'Onta Foreman and Jake Bobo both took advantage of injuries

Week 7 Fantasy Football Misses (Players that scored less points than expected)

PLAYER

TEAM

POSITION

PROJECTED

ACTUAL

J. Herbert

LAC

QB

21.23

5.50

S. Howell

WAS

QB

16.3

9.75

A. Ekeler

LAC

RB

17.71

5.5

J. Jacobs

LV

RB

16.18

5.5

C. Kupp

LAR

WR

18.31

6.5

C. Ridley

JAX

WR

12.55

1

A. Trautman

DEN

TE

4.66

1

D. Pahram

LAC

TE

4.43

1.5

Notes

  • Justin Herbert ended up as QB21 against the Chiefs and brought Ekeler and Pahram down with him. There should be better numbers against Chicago next weekend.
  • Sam Howell was sacked another five times to pad his lead in that category
  • Cooper Kupp has his worst game maybe ever.
  • The player to keep an eye on is Ekeler. Last week he had 6.2 fantasy points and this week only 4.6 fantasy points.

My Week 7 fantasy football hits and misses

Players I thought had the best matchups for Week 7.

PLAYER

TEAM

POSITION

PROJECTED

ACTUAL

Jordan Love

Packers

QB

17.3

16.3

Gino Smith

Seahawks

QB

18.3

14.8

Brian Robinson

Commanders

RB

13.1

8.3

Aaron Jones

Packers

RB

13.7

8.7

Marquise Brown

Cardinals

WR

10.9

7.9

Chris Olava

Saints

WR

14.4

12.7

Cole Kmet

Bears

TE

8.1

0

Luke Musgrave

Packers

TE

6.4

3

Totals

102.

71.7

Notes

  • Cole Kmet had zero targets.
  • Washington had only 76 yards rushing total Robinson had fewer carries than Chris Rodriguez Jr.
  • Musgrave left the game early and it just seemed like the rest of the team did too. This was a game in which the Packers should have had several fantasy stars but instead had none.

After six weeks:
Projected points 631.1. Actual points 691.7
Players over projected: 20
Players under projected: 21
Players who were even (within 2 points): 15

5 predictions for the remainder of the year

1) The Jets won’t make the playoffs but the Packers will. The Jets are now 3 and 3 and had their bye week. The Packers look bad losing to Denver. It looks like neither may make the playoffs this year.

2) Justin Jefferson and Tyreek Hill both have a chance to break the all-time receiving record. The record is 1,964 yards which means they have to average 115 yards per game. Hill had an off game and still hauled in 88 yards. He now has 902 yards for the year. He is on pace for 2190 yards. Jefferson is still out.

3) Patrick Mahomes breaks the passing record – He needs 5,477 yards or 322 a game. Finally a great game with 424 yards and 4 TDs. He is now up to 2017 yards, on pace for 4898 yards. With Mahomes this is still possible.

4) Mark Andrews - Andrews will not end the season as a top-10 fantasy tight end. -Andrews made 2 TDs having another great game. It looks like the Ravens have turned Jackson into a passer and Andrews just might be the recipient of a great passing attack. Andrews is now TE2.

5) Cooper Kupp - With a first-round draft pick you will get 5th-round - production- Kupp had his worst game ever scoring only 4.9 fantasy points. He now ranks WR52

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