Fantasy football Week 1 hits and misses

A recap of the fantasy football hits and misses from Week 1.

Miami Dolphins v Los Angeles Chargers
Miami Dolphins v Los Angeles Chargers / Harry How/GettyImages
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So how did everyone do this weekend? If you had fantasy football's No. 1 drafted players for each position, you would have had on your roster: Patrick Mahomes (20.5), Christian McCaffrey (25.9), Justin Jefferson (24), and Travis Kelce (0). They would have combined for 70 points for your team. If you had Tua Tagovailoa (28.1), Aaron Jones (26.7), Tyreek Hill (44.5), and Hunter Henry (16.6), you would have 115 points. This is what we love about fantasy football.

First, let’s look at some of my hits and misses. I put out there five things I felt could happen this year.

1) The Jets won’t make the playoffs but the Packers will. After 4 snaps this looks like even more of a lock. The Jets lost Aaron Rodgers for the season and Jordan Love came out and threw for 245 yards and three touchdowns.

2) Justin Jefferson and Tyreek Hill both have a chance to break the all-time receiving record. The record is 1,710 yards which means they have to average 100 yards per game. Jefferson had 150 yards and Hill had a ridiculous 215.

3) Patrick Mahomes breaks the passing record – He needs 5,477 yards, or 322 a game. He got 226. With his receivers dropping five passes, they aren’t helping him at all.

4) Mark Andrews - Andrews will not end the season as a top-10 fantasy tight end. - Did Not Play

5) Cooper Kupp - With a first-round draft pick you will get 5th-round - production - On IR

Matchups I liked for Week 1

PLAYER

TEAM

POSITION

PROJECTED

ACTUAL

Russell Wilson

Broncos

QB

17

15.2

Sam Howell

Commanders

QB

17

16.2

Raheem Mostert

Dolphins

RB

9.9

13

Cam Akers

Rams

RB

10.7

8.9

Michael Thomas

Saints

WR

6.9

11.1

Drake London

Falcons

WR

10.8

0

Dalton Kincaid

Bills

TE

4

6.6

Gerald Everett

Chargers

TE

4.6

4.3

TOTAL

80.9

75.3

My Hits: Mostert, Thomas, Kincaid
My Misses: London, Akers

Notes: London had only one target on the day. I don’t think anyone saw that coming.

HITS - Players that performed much better than expected.

PLAYER

TEAM

POSITION

PROJECTED

ACTUAL

Tua Tagovailoa

Dolphins

QB

18.06

34.14

Mac Jones

Patriots

QB

15.48

31.14

Tyler Allgeier

Falcons

RB

9.25

22.90

Aaron Jones

Packers

RB

12.86

25.70

Tyreek Hill

Dolphins

WR

17.09

39.00

Brandon Aiyuk

49ers

WR

11.90

28.90

Hunter Henry

Patriots

TE

6.62

14.10

Hayden Hurst

Panthers

TE

6.18

12.60

MISSES - Players that performed much worse than expected.

PLAYER

TEAM

POSITION

PROJECTED

ACTUAL

Joe Burrow

Bengals

QB

20.64

3.14

Lamar Jackson

Ravens

QB

19.94

7.46

Najee Harris

Steelers

RB

11.43

4.30

Saquon Barkley

Giants

RB

14.70

7.80

Ja'Marr Chase

Bengals

WR

15.45

6.60

Tyler Lockett

Seahawks

WR

10.19

2.00

Dalton Schultz

Texans

TE

7.41

1.40

George Kittle

49ers

TE

7.10

3.40

Next. 5 Fantasy Football replacements for Aaron Rodgers. dark. Next

This is what happens every Week 1 in the NFL. There is nobody on either list whose performance we should overreact to. I don’t expect Mac Jones to get 31 points every week and I certainly don’t expect Joe Burrow to have 3.14 points ever again.

Point totals based on Yahoo scoring.