Fantasy Football: Week 4 hits and misses
So how did everyone do this weekend?
If you had the number one drafted players for each position you would have had on your roster Patrick Mahomes (15.2), Christian McCaffrey (41.7), Justin Jefferson (20.5), and Travis Kelce (6). They would have scored 83.4 points for your team.
If you had Josh Allen (36.5), McCaffrey (41.7), Stefon Diggs (30.0), and Cole Kmet (20.6), you would have 128.8 points. This is what we love about Fantasy Football.
Biggest Hit of the Weekend: Well, 10 hits. The Seattle defense sacked Daniel Jones 10 times and scored 30 fantasy points. They probably made a lot of fantasy teams winners this week.
HITS - Players that scored more points than expected.
PLAYER | TEAM | POSITION | PROJECTED POINTS | ACTUAL POINTS |
---|---|---|---|---|
Josh Allen | Bills | QB | 22.02 | 44.5 |
Justin Fields | Bears | QB | 17.96 | 35.9 |
Christian McCaffrey | 49ers | RB | 20.17 | 45.2 |
David Montgomery | Lions | RB | 13.54 | 33.1 |
Nico Collins | Texas | WR | 10.84 | 32.3 |
A.J Brown | Eagles | WR | 14.21 | 33.1 |
Cole Kmet | Bears | TE | 7.14 | 24.1 |
Mark Andrews | Ravens | TE | 9.94 | 22.5 |
NOTES: Fields had a great game, surprising everyone. Kmet was the beneficiary, hauling in two touchdowns. Until Fields starts running, he is still not someone I expect to see on this list very often.
MISSES - Players that scored less points than expected
PLAYERS | TEAM | POSITION | PROJECTED POINTS | ACTUAL POINTS |
---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Burrow | Bengals | QB | 18.92 | 4.7 |
Daniel Jones | Giants | QB | 19.69 | 7.72 |
Aaron Jones | Packers | RB | 12.62 | 1.9 |
Javonte Williams | Broncos | RB | 11.93 | 2.4 |
Tyreek Hill | Dolphins | WR | 18.19 | 8.7 |
George Pickens | Steelers | WR | 10.21 | 3 |
T.J. Hockenson | Vikings | TE | 9.86 | 3.4 |
Darren Waller | Giants | TE | 8.51 | 3.6 |
NOTES: Joe Burrow is one of the biggest disappointments of the year. He has scored only 3, 16, 9, and 5 fantasy points in the first four weeks. Daniel Jones, after a QB1 finish for week 2, finds himself with an offensive line that gave up 10 sacks and an injured Saquon Barkley.
My hits and misses
Players I thought had the best matchups for Week 4.
PLAYER | TEAM | POSITION | PROJECTED POINTS | ACTUAL POINTS |
---|---|---|---|---|
Daniel Jones | Giants | QB | 18.3 | 10.7 |
Russell Wilson | Broncos | QB | 17.5 | 22.2 |
Alexander Mattison | Vikings | RB | 11.4 | 10.8 |
D'Andre Swift | Eagles | RB | 13 | 17.9 |
Courtland Sutton | Broncos | WR | 10.1 | 11.7 |
Tank Dell | Texans | WR | 7.7 | 3.9 |
Noah Fant | Seahawks | TE | 3.5 | 6.3 |
Logan Thomas | Commanders | TE | 2.6 | 7.3 |
Totals: | 84.1 | 90.8 |
After four weeks: Projected points 349.5. Actual points 387.3. Players over 16, Players under, 13, and even 3
Daniel Jones was my biggest miss. It’s still surprising that he got 10 points lying on his back for most of the game. So far I’ve had more hits than misses.
I put out there five things to watch for this year.
1) The Jets won’t make the playoffs but the Packers will. The Jets are 1-3 and are looking up at Buffalo and Miami, both looking like playoff teams already. The Packers are 2-2. It looks like at this point in the season the Packers could make the playoffs but they have some work to do.
2) Justin Jefferson and Tyreek Hill both have a chance to break the all-time receiving record. The record is 1,964 yards which means they have to average 115 yards per game. Hill after three games has 470 (117/game) and Jefferson has 543 (135/game).
3) Patrick Mahomes breaks the passing record – He needs 5,477 yards or 322 a game. After four games he hasn’t hit 322 yet. At 1,006 passing yards, he is at 251/game.
4)Mark Andrews - Andrews will not end the season as a top-10 fantasy tight end. - With Rashod Bateman and Odell Beckham, Jr both out Andrews had 80 yards and 2 touchdowns. After four games he is TE 5 and is having a much better year than I thought.
5) Cooper Kupp - With a first-round draft pick you will get 5th-round production- DNP. He is practicing this week but still no word as to his return.