NFL DFS Plays Week 1: Low ownership picks for DraftKings

We take a look at the best options under 10 percent projected ownership on DraftKings from QB to DST for Week 1 of the NFL season. With a number of chalky plays on the board expected, follow Fantasy CPR for the best pivot and leverage plays heading into Sunday!

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DK Metcalf
Dec 24, 2022; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Seattle Seahawks wide receiver DK Metcalf (14), shirtless / Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

Wide Receiver

Highest Ownership Projected: Justin Jefferson, Tyreek Hill, Ja'Marr Chase, Amari Cooper, Chris Olave, Jaylen Waddle, Calvin Ridley, Mike Williams, Romeo Doubs (if he plays), Jayden Reed (if Doubs doesn't play)

I mentioned him earlier, but DK Metcalf ($7000) and Geno Smith should have a big week against the Rams in Week 1 but are projecting to be relatively low-owned. At 6-8 percent, Metcalf provides a huge touchdown target for Geno and saw a 27 percent target share in his first season with Geno Smith. With Kenneth Walker expected to play and Lockett and JSN being alongside Metcalf, he should see enough single coverage to blow the lid off and go for a long reception or two.

Much like Josh Jacobs, Davante Adams ($7900) will likely be in for a long season with a putrid Raiders defense and a lack of weapons for Josh McDaniels on offense outside of Jacobs and Adams. With that said, how often can you get a top 5 WR at under $8K and under 10 percent ownership? Adams should see plenty of targets from Jimmy G on Sunday as he gets acclimated to his new teammates underneath a familiar face in McDaniels.

I mentioned the game earlier, the implied total in the Chargers/Dolphins game means you need to get some exposure to this game. Although Austin Ekeler may seem like the safe bet on the Chargers side, I am leaning towards Keenan Allen ($7300) who projects to be under 8 percent while teammate Mike Williams and both stud Dolphins receivers (Hill and Waddle) are tracking around 15 percent. Another guy who has been plagued by injuries, Keenan Allen makes his mark when he does lace them up. Despite only suiting up for 10 games last season, he still managed to see 89 targets (9 targets per game) and is a great pivot off of the previously named trio of Dolphins/Chargers WRs.

I expect that his ownership may go up the closer that we get to Sunday's kickoff at 1pm EST, but Marvin Mims Jr is currently looking at 5-ish percent ownership despite being the No. 2 option in Denver at $3000. A second-round pick in this year's draft out of Oklahoma, Mims can make his impression early under new head coach Sean Payton. As I mentioned earlier, I prefer KJ Osborn ($4300) over big-play rookie Jordan Addison and the high-priced Justin Jefferson. Devonta Smith ($7200) looks to take another step in his third season after 64 receptions in his rookie campaign with 95 coming last year. As always, AJ Brown will take the primary spotlight for the Eagles and allow Smith to roam free against a Patriots defense with a lot of new faces. At $7200, you have to pay up but his ownership should sit comfortably under 5 percent. Finally, George Pickens ($5000) is a clear candidate for a breakout year after a solid rookie campaign in Pittsburgh. It became clear towards the end of the season that he was the alpha in the Steelers WR room and he has created an incredible connection with QB Kenny Pickett. At 1-2 percent ownership, Pickens has the big play ability that could help you win big.