First, the matchup on paper could not be better. The Eagles are giving up the most points to opposing wideouts. Greg Dortch, Darius Slayton, and Wan’Dale Robinson have put up strong stat lines against this Eagles team in recent weeks. Now, they are traveling to Tampa Bay to take on Mike Evans and Chris Godwin.
Mike Evans finished as the WR7 in total PPR points this season. When Evans last faced the Eagles (in Week 3), he scored 17 DraftKings points with a stat line of five catches, 60 yards, and a score. Evans did have a down week against Carolina in Week 18 but still had a substantial target share that does not concern me. Evans has also seen six catches of over 40 yards this season, tied for fourth most in the league, only trailing Rashid Shaheed, Amari Cooper, and Tyreek Hill.
Chris Godwin had an underwhelming first three months to the season but has seen a return to form over the past month. Godwin has topped over 10 DraftKings points in the past five games after not hitting that threshold since Week 8. In addition, Godwin has seen double-digit targets in three out of the last five games, which shows that quarterback Baker Mayfield is looking his way and trusts him down the stretch.
Trey Palmer, the distant third receiver in Tampa Bay, is also in play as a flex option tonight. Palmer has seen at least five targets in the past three games, including one of those games where he topped 17 DraftKings points against the New Orleans Saints. While Palmer can bust and only catch a few passes, the matchup could not be better on paper and has some upside as a flex play.
In addition, the Tampa Bay pass defense is ranked 24th against opposing wide receivers, which sets the game up to be a potential high-scoring affair. While the Eagles offense will be without A.J. Brown, Jalen Hurts still has several weapons, such as Devonta Smith and Dallas Goedert, who can keep the game close and match the Tampa Bay offense.